Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultCruz Azul to win ✓63% · @1.57
Double chanceCruz Azul or draw ✓84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.17
Cruz Azul vs Atlas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atlas travel to face Cruz Azul on Sunday 10 May in the Liga MX, with Estadio Azteca the venue – the ball rolls at 04:15 WAT. In the table, Cruz Azul are 1st, leading the league, on 32 points after 16 matches; Atlas are 5th (upper half) with 27.
Current form
Cruz Azul, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Atlas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Atlas, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Cruz Azul, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Atlas 2–3 Cruz Azul.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cruz Azul 2.2 xG, Atlas 1.1 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cruz Azul 63%, draw 21%, Atlas 16%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cruz Azul 2–1 Atlas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cruz Azul63%fair 1.59 · @1.57
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @4.00
Atlas16%fair 6.35 · @5.50
3.29Expected goals
2.19Cruz Azul xG
1.10Atlas xG
57%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Cruz Azul 2.2 – 1.1 Atlas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cruz Azul
Atlas
Attack vs Liga MX average
+40%
+4%
Goals conceded vs average
-4%
+14%
Our expected goals here
2.56
1.41
Our own ratings from every Liga MX result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Cruz Azul vs Atlas?
On our numbers Cruz Azul have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Atlas 16%.
How many goals will there be in Cruz Azul vs Atlas?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cruz Azul vs Atlas?
Our predicted score is Cruz Azul 2–1 Atlas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Cruz Azul vs Atlas?
Cruz Azul vs Atlas (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 04:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Azteca.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
