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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Al Riffa v Al Shabab: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Bahrain
4–0
FT
Al Riffa 66%Draw 20%Al Shabab 14% Expected goals 1.91 – 0.84
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 51% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAl Riffa to win ✓66% · @1.25
Double chanceAl Riffa or draw ✓86% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.25
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.21

Al Riffa vs Al Shabab: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Al Shabab travel to face Al Riffa on Tuesday 5 May in the Premier League – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT.

Current form

Al Riffa, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Al Ahli, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Al Shabab, last 4: WDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Bahrain SC, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Al Riffa, collecting 2.4 points per game to 1.8 for Al Shabab.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Al Riffa 1.9 xG, Al Shabab 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Al Riffa 66%, draw 20%, Al Shabab 14%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.25.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Riffa 2–0 Al Shabab. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Al Riffa66%fair 1.52 · @1.25
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @4.50
Al Shabab14%fair 7.26 · @11.00
2.75Expected goals
1.91Al Riffa xG
0.84Al Shabab xG
51%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%

From our goals model: Al Riffa 1.9 – 0.8 Al Shabab expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAl Riffa to win ✓66%1.521.25
Double chanceAl Riffa or draw ✓86%1.161.01
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.952.25 ▲
Draw no betAl Riffa (draw no bet) ✓83%1.21–
Asian handicapAl Riffa -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.931.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗69%1.441.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
First team to scoreAl Riffa to score first ✓65%1.54–
Half-time resultAl Riffa ahead at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Al Riffa / FT Al Riffa ✗40%2.53–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.21–

Recent results

Al Riffa – last 5

WLWWW
29 Apr@ Al Ahli3–2W
24 Apr@ Muharraq1–2L
17 Aprvs A'Ali1–0W
12 Marvs Muharraq1–0W
19 Feb@ Budaiya3–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Al Shabab – last 4

WDLW
28 Aprvs Bahrain SC1–0W
2 Aprvs Al Najma1–1D
27 Feb@ Muharraq0–3L
19 Feb@ A'Ali1–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Al Riffa and Al Shabab.

Al Riffa vs Al Shabab head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Riffa7430+1115
2Khalidiya7430+1015
3Al Ittifaq Maqaba7421+514
4Muharraq7322+411
5Al Ahli723209
6East Riffa7223-58
7Sitra7223-28
8Al Najma7223-48
9A'Ali7223-38
10Al-Hidd714207
11Manama7133-56
12Malkiya7025-112

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Al Riffa vs Al Shabab?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Al Riffa vs Al Shabab?

On our numbers Al Riffa have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Al Shabab 14%.

How many goals will there be in Al Riffa vs Al Shabab?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Al Riffa vs Al Shabab?

Our predicted score is Al Riffa 2–0 Al Shabab, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Al Riffa vs Al Shabab?

Al Riffa vs Al Shabab (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 5 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.