On Tuesday 5 May the Premier League brings Sitra against Al Ahli. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Sitra are 7th, lower half, on 8 points after 7 matches; Al Ahli are 5th (upper half) with 9. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sitra, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over A'Ali, away. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 2.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Al Ahli, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Al Riffa, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Al Ahli, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Sitra.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sitra 1.1 xG, Al Ahli 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sitra 34%, draw 27%, Al Ahli 38%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sitra 1–1 Al Ahli. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sitra34%fair 2.91 · @2.65
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @3.10
Al Ahli38%fair 2.60 · @2.50
2.42Expected goals
1.15Sitra xG
1.27Al Ahli xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Sitra 1.1 – 1.3 Al Ahli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Ahli to win✓
38%
2.60
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.80
Draw no bet
Al Ahli (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Sitra +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Al Ahli to score first✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Ahli / FT Al Ahli✓
22%
4.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.15
–
Recent results
Sitra – last 5
WLWLL
27 Apr
@ A'Ali
2–0
W
3 Apr
@ Muharraq
0–3
L
12 Mar
vs Budaiya
3–0
W
23 Feb
@ Al-Hidd
1–4
L
18 Feb
@ Zakho
1–3
L
1.4Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Al Ahli – last 3
LWW
29 Apr
vs Al Riffa
2–3
L
17 Apr
@ Bahrain SC
2–1
W
20 Feb
vs Al Najma
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sitra and Al Ahli.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sitra vs Al Ahli?
On our numbers Sitra have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Al Ahli 38%.
How many goals will there be in Sitra vs Al Ahli?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sitra vs Al Ahli?
Our predicted score is Sitra 1–1 Al Ahli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sitra vs Al Ahli?
Sitra vs Al Ahli (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 5 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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