Naft welcome Al-Karma for a Iraqi League fixture on Tuesday 5 May (18:00 WAT). In the table, Naft are 3rd, among the top four, on 25 points after 13 matches; Al-Karma are 1st (leading the league) with 30.
Current form
Naft, last 5: DLWDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Mosul, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Al-Karma, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Al-Qasim, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Naft 0.9 xG, Al-Karma 1.0 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Naft 31%, draw 29%, Al-Karma 39%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (50%, odds 2.00). Most likely score in line with that pick: Naft 1–1 Al-Karma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Naft31%fair 3.20 · @3.20
Draw29%fair 3.39 · @3.00
Al-Karma39%fair 2.55 · @2.15
1.84Expected goals
0.89Naft xG
0.95Al-Karma xG
50%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–016%
0–115%
1–014%
1–113%
0–27%
1–26%
From our goals model: Naft 0.9 – 1.0 Al-Karma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Karma to win✗
39%
2.55
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
71%
1.42
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
2.00
Draw no bet
Al-Karma (draw no bet)
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Naft +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Al-Karma to score first✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
6%
15.61
–
Recent results
Naft – last 6
DLWDDW
22 Apr
@ Mosul
0–0
D
14 Apr
vs Erbil
0–2
L
9 Apr
vs Gharraf
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0–0
D
30 Mar
@ Al Talaba
0–0
D
25 Mar
@ Al-Qasim
2–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Al-Karma – last 6
DDDWLD
26 Apr
@ Al-Qasim
2–2
D
22 Apr
@ Al Karkh
0–0
D
17 Apr
vs Al Shorta
1–1
D
8 Apr
vs Duhok
3–0
W
30 Mar
@ Baghdad
1–2
L
26 Mar
vs Mosul
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Naft and Al-Karma.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Naft vs Al-Karma?
On our numbers Naft have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Al-Karma 39%.
How many goals will there be in Naft vs Al-Karma?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naft vs Al-Karma?
Our predicted score is Naft 1–1 Al-Karma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Naft vs Al-Karma?
Naft vs Al-Karma (Iraqi League) kicks off on Tuesday 5 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
