Al Talaba vs Al Zawra'a: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al Zawra'a travel to face Al Talaba on Tuesday 5 May in the Iraqi League, with Al Talaba Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Al Talaba are 11th, lower half, on 16 points after 13 matches; Al Zawra'a are 6th (upper half) with 21.
Current form
Al Talaba, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Diyala, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Al Zawra'a, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Duhok, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Talaba 1.3 xG, Al Zawra'a 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Talaba 39%, draw 28%, Al Zawra'a 33%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.84, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Talaba 1–1 Al Zawra'a. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Talaba39%fair 2.57 · @2.60
Draw28%fair 3.61 · @3.00
Al Zawra'a33%fair 2.99 · @2.60
2.31Expected goals
1.27Al Talaba xG
1.03Al Zawra'a xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Al Talaba 1.3 – 1.0 Al Zawra'a expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Talaba to win✗
39%
2.57
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.38
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.91
Draw no bet
Al Talaba (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Al Zawra'a +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Al Talaba to score first✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Talaba / FT Al Talaba✗
24%
4.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.98
–
Recent results
Al Talaba – last 6
WLDWDW
1 May
@ Diyala
1–0
W
27 Apr
vs Erbil
2–3
L
30 Mar
vs Naft
0–0
D
25 Mar
vs Baghdad
2–1
W
17 Mar
@ Al Shorta
3–3
D
12 Mar
@ Al Kahrabaa
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Al Zawra'a – last 6
DWWDDW
1 May
vs Duhok
2–2
D
22 Apr
vs Diyala
2–0
W
13 Apr
@ Al Shorta
2–1
W
8 Apr
@ Zakho
1–1
D
31 Mar
@ Erbil
1–1
D
17 Mar
@ Gharraf
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Talaba and Al Zawra'a.
What is the prediction for Al Talaba vs Al Zawra'a?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Al Talaba vs Al Zawra'a?
On our numbers Al Talaba have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Al Zawra'a 33%.
How many goals will there be in Al Talaba vs Al Zawra'a?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Talaba vs Al Zawra'a?
Our predicted score is Al Talaba 1–1 Al Zawra'a, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Al Talaba vs Al Zawra'a?
Al Talaba vs Al Zawra'a (Iraqi League) kicks off on Tuesday 5 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Al Talaba Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
