Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Al Kahrabaa vs Newroz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al Kahrabaa welcome Newroz for a Iraqi League fixture on Monday 11 May (15:30 WAT).
Current form
Al Kahrabaa, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Erbil, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Kahrabaa 1.3 xG, Newroz 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 47%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Kahrabaa 38%, draw 23%, Newroz 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (52%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Kahrabaa 1–1 Newroz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Kahrabaa38%fair 2.65 · @2.40
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.20
Newroz40%fair 2.52 · @2.60
2.58Expected goals
1.27Al Kahrabaa xG
1.31Newroz xG
47%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Al Kahrabaa 1.3 – 1.3 Newroz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newroz to win✗
40%
2.52
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
–
Draw no bet
Newroz (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Al Kahrabaa +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Newroz to score first✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newroz / FT Newroz✗
22%
4.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.06
–
Recent results
Al Kahrabaa – last 6
DLLWWL
6 May
@ Erbil
2–2
D
27 Apr
vs Al Karkh
1–3
L
23 Apr
@ Zakho
1–2
L
9 Apr
vs Al Minaa Basra
2–0
W
5 Apr
vs Al-Qasim
3–0
W
17 Mar
vs Naft
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Newroz – last 1
L
5 May
vs Al Shorta
0–3
L
0.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Kahrabaa and Newroz.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Al Kahrabaa vs Newroz?
On our numbers Al Kahrabaa have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Newroz 40%.
How many goals will there be in Al Kahrabaa vs Newroz?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Kahrabaa vs Newroz?
Our predicted score is Al Kahrabaa 1–1 Newroz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Al Kahrabaa vs Newroz?
Al Kahrabaa vs Newroz (Iraqi League) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
