Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultZakho to win ✗46% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.91
Zakho vs Diyala: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Monday 11 May: Zakho v Diyala in the Iraqi League. In the table, Zakho are 15th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; Diyala are 12th (lower half) with 14. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Zakho, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Al Karkh, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Diyala, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Gharraf, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Zakho 1.2 xG, Diyala 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 44%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Zakho 46%, draw 26%, Diyala 28%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zakho 1–1 Diyala. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Zakho46%fair 2.17 · @1.83
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.25
Diyala28%fair 3.60 · @3.80
2.29Expected goals
1.25Zakho xG
1.04Diyala xG
44%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Zakho 1.2 – 1.0 Diyala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zakho to win✗
46%
2.17
1.83
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
–
Draw no bet
Zakho (draw no bet)✗
62%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
Diyala +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Zakho to score first✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zakho / FT Zakho✗
23%
4.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.91
–
Recent results
Zakho – last 6
LWWDDW
6 May
@ Al Karkh
1–3
L
1 May
vs Naft Maysan
3–1
W
23 Apr
vs Al Kahrabaa
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Al Shabab
1–1
D
8 Apr
vs Al Zawra'a
1–1
D
3 Apr
@ Baghdad
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Diyala – last 6
DLLWWW
6 May
@ Gharraf
0–0
D
1 May
vs Al Talaba
0–1
L
22 Apr
@ Al Zawra'a
0–2
L
13 Apr
@ Al Karkh
2–0
W
9 Apr
vs Naft Maysan
1–0
W
31 Mar
@ Al-Qasim
4–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zakho and Diyala.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Zakho vs Diyala?
On our numbers Zakho have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Diyala 28%.
How many goals will there be in Zakho vs Diyala?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zakho vs Diyala?
Our predicted score is Zakho 1–1 Diyala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Zakho vs Diyala?
Zakho vs Diyala (Iraqi League) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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