Al Ahli 37%Draw 30%Al-Hidd 33%Expected goals 1.16 – 1.00
80%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultAl Ahli to win ✗37% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓70% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.85
Al Ahli vs Al-Hidd: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al Ahli welcome Al-Hidd for a Premier League fixture on Monday 11 May (17:00 WAT). In the table, Al Ahli are 5th, upper half, on 9 points after 7 matches; Al-Hidd are 10th (in the drop zone) with 7. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Al Ahli, last 4: WLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sitra, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Al-Hidd, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to A'Ali, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Al Ahli, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Al-Hidd.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Ahli 1.2 xG, Al-Hidd 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Ahli 37%, draw 30%, Al-Hidd 33%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Ahli 1–0 Al-Hidd. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Ahli37%fair 2.69 · @2.70
Draw30%fair 3.35 · @3.00
Al-Hidd33%fair 3.03 · @2.50
2.16Expected goals
1.16Al Ahli xG
1.00Al-Hidd xG
56%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Al Ahli 1.2 – 1.0 Al-Hidd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Ahli to win✗
37%
2.69
2.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
70%
1.43
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.80
Draw no bet
Al Ahli (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Al-Hidd +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.65
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Al Ahli to score first✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Ahli / FT Al Ahli✗
22%
4.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.85
–
Recent results
Al Ahli – last 4
WLWW
5 May
@ Sitra
2–0
W
29 Apr
vs Al Riffa
2–3
L
17 Apr
@ Bahrain SC
2–1
W
20 Feb
vs Al Najma
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Al-Hidd – last 5
LLWLW
4 May
vs A'Ali
0–1
L
16 Apr
vs Muharraq
0–1
L
3 Apr
@ Budaiya
2–0
W
13 Mar
@ Al Najma
0–1
L
23 Feb
vs Sitra
4–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Ahli and Al-Hidd.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Al Ahli vs Al-Hidd?
On our numbers Al Ahli have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Al-Hidd 33%.
How many goals will there be in Al Ahli vs Al-Hidd?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Ahli vs Al-Hidd?
Our predicted score is Al Ahli 1–0 Al-Hidd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Al Ahli vs Al-Hidd?
Al Ahli vs Al-Hidd (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
