Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.83 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultKhalidiya to win ✗41% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.18
Khalidiya vs Muharraq: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Muharraq travel to face Khalidiya on Monday 11 May in the Premier League – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Khalidiya are 2nd, among the top four, on 15 points after 7 matches; Muharraq are 4th (among the top four) with 11.
Current form
Khalidiya, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Muharraq, away. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Muharraq, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Al Najma, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Khalidiya, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.5 for Muharraq.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Mar 2026) it ended Muharraq 0–3 Khalidiya.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Khalidiya 1.5 xG, Muharraq 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Khalidiya 41%, draw 26%, Muharraq 33%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Khalidiya 1–1 Muharraq. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Khalidiya41%fair 2.42 · @2.40
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.00
Muharraq33%fair 3.06 · @2.85
2.71Expected goals
1.48Khalidiya xG
1.23Muharraq xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Khalidiya 1.5 – 1.2 Muharraq expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Khalidiya vs Muharraq?
On our numbers Khalidiya have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Muharraq 33%.
How many goals will there be in Khalidiya vs Muharraq?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Khalidiya vs Muharraq?
Our predicted score is Khalidiya 1–1 Muharraq, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Khalidiya vs Muharraq?
Khalidiya vs Muharraq (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
