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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Estudiantes de Merida FC v Carabobo FC: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Venezuela

Estudiantes de Merida FC

LLWLW
0–2
FT

Carabobo FC

WLLWW
Estudiantes de Merida FC 27%Draw 27%Carabobo FC 46% Expected goals 0.97 – 1.43
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultCarabobo FC to win ✓46% · @2.10
Double chanceCarabobo FC or draw ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.11

Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Carabobo FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Carabobo FC travel to face Estudiantes de Merida FC on Sunday 17 May in the Primera División – the ball rolls at 22:00 WAT. In the table, Estudiantes de Merida FC are 9th, in the drop zone, on 17 points after 13 matches; Carabobo FC are 1st (leading the league) with 11.

Current form

Estudiantes de Merida FC, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Carabobo FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Carabobo FC, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Estudiantes de Merida FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (14 May 2026) it ended Carabobo FC 1–0 Estudiantes de Merida FC. The last 2 head-to-heads: Estudiantes de Merida FC 1 win, Carabobo FC 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Estudiantes de Merida FC 1.0 xG, Carabobo FC 1.4 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Estudiantes de Merida FC 27%, draw 27%, Carabobo FC 46%.
  • Lower-risk option: Carabobo FC or draw (73%) at 1.30.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estudiantes de Merida FC 0–1 Carabobo FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Estudiantes de Merida FC27%fair 3.74 · @3.25
Draw27%fair 3.64 · @3.10
Carabobo FC46%fair 2.19 · @2.10
2.40Expected goals
0.97Estudiantes de Merida FC xG
1.43Carabobo FC xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
1–113%
0–29%
0–09%
1–29%
1–09%

From our goals model: Estudiantes de Merida FC 1.0 – 1.4 Carabobo FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCarabobo FC to win ✓46%2.192.10
Double chanceCarabobo FC or draw ✓73%1.371.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.841.80
Draw no betCarabobo FC (draw no bet) ✓63%1.59–
Asian handicapEstudiantes de Merida FC +1 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.451.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.791.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.311.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreCarabobo FC to score first ✓54%1.85–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Carabobo FC / FT Carabobo FC ✗28%3.55–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.11–

Recent results

Estudiantes de Merida FC – last 6

LLWLWW
14 May@ Carabobo FC0–1L
9 May@ Metropolitanos FC0–2L
18 Marvs Carabobo FC3–2W
6 Marvs Deportivo La Guaira0–1L
28 Feb@ Puerto Cabello2–1W
23 Feb@ Academia Anzoátegui3–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Carabobo FC – last 6

WLLWWL
14 Mayvs Estudiantes de Merida FC1–0W
10 May@ Deportivo Tachira FC1–3L
8 Mayvs River Plate1–2L
30 Aprvs Blooming2–0W
20 Aprvs Academia Anzoátegui6–3W
16 Apr@ River Plate0–1L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 May 2026Carabobo FC v Estudiantes de Merida FC1–0
18 Mar 2026Estudiantes de Merida FC v Carabobo FC3–2
Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Carabobo FC head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Metropolitanos FC261763+2657
2Deportivo Tachira FC261565+1851
3Deportivo La Guaira261286+1344
4Carabobo FC2610115+1441
5Puerto Cabello2610106+940
6Portuguesa FC269125+1039
7UCV261169+239
8Estudiantes de Merida FC261079+237
9Caracas FC267118-332
10Monagas SC268513-829
11Zamora FC266713-1525
12Rayo Zuliano267415-2125
13Trujillanos FC264616-2318
14Anzoátegui FC264517-2417

More Primera División predictions

League hub
FT Portuguesa FC1 Puerto Cabello0 134%2.65X29%2.95237%2.60 1.1–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓
FT Metropolitanos FC0 Deportivo Tachira FC1 136%2.75X26%3.00237%2.45 1.3–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Carabobo FC?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Carabobo FC?

On our numbers Estudiantes de Merida FC have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Carabobo FC 46%.

How many goals will there be in Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Carabobo FC?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Carabobo FC?

Our predicted score is Estudiantes de Merida FC 0–1 Carabobo FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Carabobo FC?

Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Carabobo FC (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.