Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.83 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Tachira FC to win ✓37% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.34
Metropolitanos FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 17 May the Primera División brings Metropolitanos FC against Deportivo Tachira FC at Estadio Olimpico de la UCV. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT. In the table, Metropolitanos FC are 3rd, among the top four, on 4 points after 5 matches; Deportivo Tachira FC are 1st (leading the league) with 15.
Current form
Metropolitanos FC, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Deportivo Tachira FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Deportivo Tachira FC, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Metropolitanos FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (12 May 2026) it ended Deportivo Tachira FC 1–1 Metropolitanos FC. The last 2 head-to-heads: Metropolitanos FC 1 win, Deportivo Tachira FC 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Metropolitanos FC 1.3 xG, Deportivo Tachira FC 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Metropolitanos FC 36%, draw 26%, Deportivo Tachira FC 37%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Metropolitanos FC 1–1 Deportivo Tachira FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Metropolitanos FC36%fair 2.74 · @2.75
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.00
Deportivo Tachira FC37%fair 2.68 · @2.45
2.55Expected goals
1.27Metropolitanos FC xG
1.28Deportivo Tachira FC xG
59%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Metropolitanos FC 1.3 – 1.3 Deportivo Tachira FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Tachira FC to win✓
37%
2.68
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.83 ▲
Draw no bet
Deportivo Tachira FC (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Metropolitanos FC +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Deportivo Tachira FC to score first✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Tachira FC / FT Deportivo Tachira FC✓
What is the prediction for Metropolitanos FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Metropolitanos FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC?
On our numbers Metropolitanos FC have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Deportivo Tachira FC 37%.
How many goals will there be in Metropolitanos FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Metropolitanos FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC?
Our predicted score is Metropolitanos FC 1–1 Deportivo Tachira FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Metropolitanos FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC?
Metropolitanos FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico de la UCV.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
