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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Virtus v Juvenes Dogana: numbers & prediction

Campionato · San-Marino

Virtus

WWDWL
0–0
FT
Virtus 71%Draw 19%Juvenes Dogana 10% Expected goals 2.08 – 0.66
71%
Betarazi pick

Virtus to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultVirtus to win ✗71% · @1.22
Double chanceVirtus or draw ✓90% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10% · fair 10.35

Virtus vs Juvenes Dogana: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Virtus welcome Juvenes Dogana for a Campionato fixture on Sunday 3 May (14:00 WAT). In the table, Virtus are 3rd, among the top four, on 19 points after 8 matches; Juvenes Dogana are 11th (lower half) with 7. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Virtus, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 9–0 win over Libertas, away. The attack is flying at 3.5 goals per game.

Juvenes Dogana, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Murata, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Virtus, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Juvenes Dogana.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Virtus 2–0 Juvenes Dogana.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Virtus 2.1 xG, Juvenes Dogana 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 43%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Virtus 71%, draw 19%, Juvenes Dogana 10%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Virtus to win (71%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Virtus 2–0 Juvenes Dogana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Virtus71%fair 1.41 · @1.22
Draw19%fair 5.33 · @6.00
Juvenes Dogana10%fair 9.86 · @8.00
2.74Expected goals
2.08Virtus xG
0.66Juvenes Dogana xG
43%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–014%
1–013%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–06%

From our goals model: Virtus 2.1 – 0.7 Juvenes Dogana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVirtus to win ✗71%1.411.22
Double chanceVirtus or draw ✓90%1.111.05
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓57%1.75–
Draw no betVirtus (draw no bet)88%1.14–
Asian handicapVirtus -1 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.811.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
First team to scoreVirtus to score first ✗71%1.41–
Half-time resultVirtus ahead at half-time ✗50%2.00–
Half-time / full-timeHT Virtus / FT Virtus ✗46%2.17–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10%10.35–

Recent results

Virtus – last 6

WWDWLW
26 Apr@ Libertas9–0W
19 Apr@ Cailungo6–1W
8 Apr@ Tre Penne1–1D
22 Marvs Domagnano3–2W
18 Mar@ Tre Fiori0–1L
8 Marvs Juvenes Dogana2–0W
3.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Juvenes Dogana – last 6

WLDLLD
26 Aprvs Murata5–2W
8 Apr@ Libertas0–1L
22 Marvs San Marino Academy0–0D
18 Marvs La Fiorita1–2L
8 Mar@ Virtus0–2L
4 Mar@ La Fiorita0–0D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Mar 2026Virtus v Juvenes Dogana2–0
Virtus vs Juvenes Dogana head-to-head page →

Campionato table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Folgore8710+1622
2Tre Penne8620+1220
3Virtus8611+919
4Tre Fiori8521+1117
5Cosmos8512+1116
6La Fiorita8440+616
7Domagnano8314010
8Fiorentino8233+39
9Libertas8233-29
10San Giovanni8224-68
11Juvenes / Dogana8215-17
12Cailungo8134-26
13Pennarossa8125-145
14Murata8116-134
15San Marino Academy8044-134
16Faetano8035-173

More Campionato predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Virtus vs Juvenes Dogana?

Our pick is Virtus to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Virtus vs Juvenes Dogana?

On our numbers Virtus have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Juvenes Dogana 10%.

How many goals will there be in Virtus vs Juvenes Dogana?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Virtus vs Juvenes Dogana?

Our predicted score is Virtus 2–0 Juvenes Dogana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Virtus vs Juvenes Dogana?

Virtus vs Juvenes Dogana (Campionato) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.