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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tre Penne v Cosmos: numbers & prediction

Campionato · San-Marino
Sun 3 May 2026

Cosmos

WWLDL
Tre Penne 62%Draw 23%Cosmos 15% Expected goals 1.67 – 0.78
62%
Betarazi pick

Tre Penne to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.33

5/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultTre Penne to win62% · @1.33
Double chanceTre Penne or draw85% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–014% · fair 6.98

Tre Penne vs Cosmos: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 3 May the Campionato brings Tre Penne against Cosmos. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Tre Penne are 2nd, among the top four, on 20 points after 8 matches; Cosmos are 5th (upper half) with 16.

Current form

Tre Penne, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over San Giovanni, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Cosmos, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Pennarossa, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Tre Penne, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Cosmos.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Tre Penne 1–1 Cosmos.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tre Penne 1.7 xG, Cosmos 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 46%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tre Penne 62%, draw 23%, Cosmos 15%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Tre Penne to win (62%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tre Penne 1–0 Cosmos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tre Penne62%fair 1.60 · @1.33
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @4.60
Cosmos15%fair 6.68 · @7.00
2.46Expected goals
1.67Tre Penne xG
0.78Cosmos xG
46%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%

From our goals model: Tre Penne 1.7 – 0.8 Cosmos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTre Penne to win62%1.601.33
Double chanceTre Penne or draw85%1.181.06
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score54%1.84–
Draw no betTre Penne (draw no bet)81%1.24–
Asian handicapCosmos +1.5 (Asian handicap)67%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals70%1.42–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals50%2.002.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals77%1.30–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals90%1.12–
First team to scoreTre Penne to score first62%1.61–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tre Penne / FT Tre Penne36%2.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–014%6.98–

Recent results

Tre Penne – last 6

WWDDWW
26 Aprvs San Giovanni4–0W
19 Apr@ Libertas3–1W
8 Aprvs Virtus1–1D
22 Marvs Folgore1–1D
15 Mar@ Murata4–0W
8 Mar@ Domagnano2–1W
2.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Cosmos – last 6

WWLDLW
29 Aprvs Pennarossa3–0W
26 Aprvs Faetano2–0W
19 Apr@ La Fiorita1–3L
8 Apr@ Folgore0–0D
15 Mar@ Libertas0–1L
1 Mar@ Murata3–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Feb 2026Tre Penne v Cosmos1–1
Tre Penne vs Cosmos head-to-head page →

Campionato table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Folgore8710+1622
2Tre Penne8620+1220
3Virtus8611+919
4Tre Fiori8521+1117
5Cosmos8512+1116
6La Fiorita8440+616
7Domagnano8314010
8Fiorentino8233+39
9Libertas8233-29
10San Giovanni8224-68
11Juvenes / Dogana8215-17
12Cailungo8134-26
13Pennarossa8125-145
14Murata8116-134
15San Marino Academy8044-134
16Faetano8035-173

More Campionato predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tre Penne vs Cosmos?

Our pick is Tre Penne to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Tre Penne vs Cosmos?

On our numbers Tre Penne have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cosmos 15%.

How many goals will there be in Tre Penne vs Cosmos?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tre Penne vs Cosmos?

Our predicted score is Tre Penne 1–0 Cosmos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Tre Penne vs Cosmos?

Tre Penne vs Cosmos (Campionato) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.