Pafos vs Apoel Nicosia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Apoel Nicosia travel to face Pafos on Friday 22 May in the 1. Division, with Stelios Kyriakidis the venue – the ball rolls at 15:30 WAT. In the table, Pafos are 6th, upper half, on 16 points after 9 matches; Apoel Nicosia are 4th (among the top four) with 17. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Pafos, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Omonia Nicosia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Apoel Nicosia, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Aris, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pafos 1.6 xG, Apoel Nicosia 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pafos 50%, draw 24%, Apoel Nicosia 26%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pafos 1–1 Apoel Nicosia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pafos50%fair 2.01 · @1.77
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.55
Apoel Nicosia26%fair 3.82 · @3.95
2.85Expected goals
1.62Pafos xG
1.22Apoel Nicosia xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Pafos 1.6 – 1.2 Apoel Nicosia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pafos to win✓
50%
2.01
1.77
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.60
Draw no bet
Pafos (draw no bet)✓
66%
1.53
–
Asian handicap
Apoel Nicosia +1 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Pafos to score first✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pafos / FT Pafos✓
28%
3.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.69
–
Recent results
Pafos – last 6
LWDWDD
6 May
vs Omonia Nicosia
0–2
L
22 Apr
vs AEL
3–1
W
14 Apr
@ Aris
1–1
D
8 Apr
@ AEL
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs Apollon Limassol
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Aris
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Apoel Nicosia – last 6
LDLLWW
6 May
@ Aris
0–1
L
29 Apr
vs Apollon Limassol
0–0
D
22 Apr
@ Apollon Limassol
2–4
L
14 Apr
vs Apollon Limassol
2–3
L
5 Apr
vs Aris
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Aris
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pafos and Apoel Nicosia.
What is the prediction for Pafos vs Apoel Nicosia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Pafos vs Apoel Nicosia?
On our numbers Pafos have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Apoel Nicosia 26%.
How many goals will there be in Pafos vs Apoel Nicosia?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pafos vs Apoel Nicosia?
Our predicted score is Pafos 1–1 Apoel Nicosia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Pafos vs Apoel Nicosia?
Pafos vs Apoel Nicosia (1. Division) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stelios Kyriakidis.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
