Auckland 46%Draw 23%Adelaide United 30%Expected goals 1.71 – 1.30
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultAuckland to win ✗46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.68
Auckland vs Adelaide United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Adelaide United travel to face Auckland on Saturday 9 May in the A League, with Mount Smart Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 07:00 WAT. In the table, Auckland are 8th, lower half, on 5 points after 4 matches; Adelaide United are 12th (in the drop zone) with 1.
Current form
Auckland, last 5: DLDDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Sydney, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Adelaide United, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Melbourne City, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Adelaide United, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Auckland.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended Adelaide United 1–1 Auckland.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Auckland 1.7 xG, Adelaide United 1.3 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Auckland 46%, draw 23%, Adelaide United 30%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Auckland 1–1 Adelaide United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Auckland46%fair 2.16 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.65
Adelaide United30%fair 3.30 · @3.25
3.01Expected goals
1.71Auckland xG
1.30Adelaide United xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
2–07%
1–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Auckland 1.7 – 1.3 Adelaide United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Auckland vs Adelaide United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Auckland vs Adelaide United?
On our numbers Auckland have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Adelaide United 30%.
How many goals will there be in Auckland vs Adelaide United?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Auckland vs Adelaide United?
Our predicted score is Auckland 1–1 Adelaide United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Auckland vs Adelaide United?
Auckland vs Adelaide United (A League) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Mount Smart Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
