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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sydney v Newcastle Jets: numbers & prediction

A League · Australia · Allianz Stadium

Sydney

WDDWD
1–1
FT
Sydney 52%Draw 20%Newcastle Jets 28% Expected goals 2.09 – 1.18
66%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.48Odds
1

Value bet: Sydney to win @ 2.28 – our chance 52% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSydney to win ✗52% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.21

Sydney vs Newcastle Jets: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sydney welcome Newcastle Jets to Allianz Stadium for a A League fixture on Saturday 9 May (10:40 WAT). In the table, Sydney are 2nd, among the top four, on 7 points after 4 matches; Newcastle Jets are 10th (in the drop zone) with 2.

Current form

Sydney, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Melbourne Victory, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Newcastle Jets, last 5: WDDLW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Central Coast Mariners, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended Sydney 1–2 Newcastle Jets.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sydney 2.1 xG, Newcastle Jets 1.2 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 66% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sydney 52%, draw 20%, Newcastle Jets 28%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.48.
  • Price worth noting: Sydney to win @2.28 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sydney 2–1 Newcastle Jets. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sydney52%fair 1.93 · @2.28
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.80
Newcastle Jets28%fair 3.60 · @2.74
3.27Expected goals
2.09Sydney xG
1.18Newcastle Jets xG
66%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Sydney 2.1 – 1.2 Newcastle Jets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSydney to win ✗52%1.932.28 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80%1.251.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓66%1.511.48
Draw no betSydney (draw no bet)65%1.53–
Asian handicapNewcastle Jets +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.211.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗62%1.611.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓59%1.691.57
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.301.22
First team to scoreSydney to score first61%1.63–
Half-time resultSydney ahead at half-time ✗43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sydney / FT Sydney ✗37%2.70–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.21–

Recent results

Sydney – last 6

WDDWDL
2 May@ Melbourne Victory1–0W
26 Aprvs Auckland2–2D
18 Aprvs Perth Glory0–0D
11 Apr@ Western Sydney Wanderers2–0W
2 Apr@ Brisbane Roar0–0D
22 Marvs Newcastle Jets1–2L
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Newcastle Jets – last 6

WDDLWL
25 Aprvs Central Coast Mariners4–0W
17 Apr@ Melbourne Victory2–2D
11 Aprvs Adelaide United1–1D
2 Apr@ Macarthur2–3L
22 Mar@ Sydney2–1W
14 Marvs Auckland1–2L
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Mar 2026Sydney v Newcastle Jets1–2
Sydney vs Newcastle Jets head-to-head page →

A League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Wellington Phoenix4310+610
2Sydney4211+37
3Brisbane Roar3210+27
4Melbourne City421107
5Perth Glory4202+36
6Western Sydney Wanderers4121+25
7Macarthur412105
8Auckland4121-15
9Melbourne Victory4031-13
10Newcastle Jets4022-42
11Central Coast Mariners4022-52
12Adelaide United3012-51

More A League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sydney vs Newcastle Jets?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Sydney vs Newcastle Jets?

On our numbers Sydney have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Newcastle Jets 28%.

How many goals will there be in Sydney vs Newcastle Jets?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sydney vs Newcastle Jets?

Our predicted score is Sydney 2–1 Newcastle Jets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Sydney vs Newcastle Jets?

Sydney vs Newcastle Jets (A League) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 10:40 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.