South Africa 77%Draw 15%Nicaragua 8%Expected goals 2.52 – 0.67
62%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.48Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 52% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSouth Africa to win ✗77% · @1.15
Double chanceSouth Africa or draw ✓92% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.20
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.45
South Africa vs Nicaragua: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
South Africa welcome Nicaragua to FNB Stadium for a Friendlies fixture on Friday 29 May (17:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give South Africa 2.5 xG, Nicaragua 0.7 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 52% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – South Africa 77%, draw 15%, Nicaragua 8%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: South Africa 3–0 Nicaragua. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
South Africa77%fair 1.29 · @1.15
Draw15%fair 6.69 · @6.20
Nicaragua8%fair 13.09 · @14.00
3.19Expected goals
2.52South Africa xG
0.67Nicaragua xG
52%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
3–011%
1–010%
2–19%
3–17%
4–07%
From our goals model: South Africa 2.5 – 0.7 Nicaragua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
South Africa
Nicaragua
Attack vs Friendlies average
-13%
-10%
Goals conceded vs average
-20%
+6%
Our expected goals here
2.62
0.68
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
South Africa to win✗
77%
1.29
1.15
Double chance
South Africa or draw✓
92%
1.08
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
South Africa (draw no bet)
91%
1.10
–
Asian handicap
South Africa -1 (Asian handicap)✗
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.25
First team to score
South Africa to score first✗
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
South Africa ahead at half-time✗
57%
1.75
–
Half-time / full-time
HT South Africa / FT South Africa✗
54%
1.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.45
–
Recent results
South Africa – last 2
LD
31 Mar
vs Panama
1–2
L
27 Mar
vs Panama
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Nicaragua – last 1
L
27 Mar
@ Russia
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between South Africa and Nicaragua.
What is the prediction for South Africa vs Nicaragua?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win South Africa vs Nicaragua?
On our numbers South Africa have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Nicaragua 8%.
How many goals will there be in South Africa vs Nicaragua?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for South Africa vs Nicaragua?
Our predicted score is South Africa 3–0 Nicaragua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is South Africa vs Nicaragua?
South Africa vs Nicaragua (Friendlies) kicks off on Friday 29 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at FNB Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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