Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultIran to win ✓60% · @1.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Iran vs Gambia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:30 WAT, Friday 29 May: Iran v Gambia in the Friendlies, played at Mardan Sports Complex.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Iran 2.1 xG, Gambia 1.2 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Iran 60%, draw 20%, Gambia 20%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Iran 2–1 Gambia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Iran60%fair 1.67 · @1.55
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @3.65
Gambia20%fair 4.98 · @5.50
3.29Expected goals
2.13Iran xG
1.16Gambia xG
58%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Iran 2.1 – 1.2 Gambia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Iran to win✓
60%
1.67
1.55
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Iran (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Gambia +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.95 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
First team to score
Iran to score first✗
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Iran ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Iran / FT Iran✗
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.20
–
Recent results
Iran – last 2
WL
31 Mar
@ Costa Rica
5–0
W
27 Mar
vs Nigeria
1–2
L
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Gambia – last 1
L
31 Mar
@ Senegal
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Iran and Gambia.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Iran vs Gambia?
On our numbers Iran have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Gambia 20%.
How many goals will there be in Iran vs Gambia?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Iran vs Gambia?
Our predicted score is Iran 2–1 Gambia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Iran vs Gambia?
Iran vs Gambia (Friendlies) kicks off on Friday 29 May 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Mardan Sports Complex.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
South Africa0
Nicaragua0
Iraq1
Andorra0
Bosnia & Herzegovina0
FYR Macedonia0