Value bet: Nissa to win @ 2.15 – our chance 50% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNissa to win ✓50% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.55
Nissa vs Gelbison: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 10 May the Serie D Girone I brings Nissa against Gelbison. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT.
Current form
Nissa, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Paternò, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Gelbison, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Gela, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nissa 1.6 xG, Gelbison 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nissa 50%, draw 25%, Gelbison 25%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Nissa to win @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nissa 1–0 Gelbison. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nissa50%fair 2.00 · @2.15
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.10
Gelbison25%fair 3.96 · @3.20
2.51Expected goals
1.60Nissa xG
0.91Gelbison xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Nissa 1.6 – 0.9 Gelbison expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nissa to win✓
50%
2.00
2.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.85
Draw no bet
Nissa (draw no bet)✓
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
Gelbison +1 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Nissa to score first✓
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nissa / FT Nissa✓
33%
3.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.55
–
Recent results
Nissa – last 6
WDWWWW
3 May
vs Paternò
4–1
W
26 Apr
@ Sambiase
1–1
D
19 Apr
vs Enna
3–0
W
2 Apr
vs Gela
1–0
W
29 Mar
@ Sancataldese
5–1
W
22 Mar
vs AC Palermo
3–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Gelbison – last 6
WWWDDW
3 May
vs Gela
1–0
W
19 Apr
vs Acireale
2–1
W
29 Mar
@ Messina
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs Igea Virtus
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Savoia
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Vibonese
4–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nissa and Gelbison.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Nissa vs Gelbison?
On our numbers Nissa have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Gelbison 25%.
How many goals will there be in Nissa vs Gelbison?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nissa vs Gelbison?
Our predicted score is Nissa 1–0 Gelbison, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Nissa vs Gelbison?
Nissa vs Gelbison (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Acireale0