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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Reggina v AC Palermo: numbers & prediction

Serie D Girone I · Italy · Stadio Oreste Granillo

Reggina

WWWWW
1–0
FT

AC Palermo

WLWLL
Reggina 57%Draw 23%AC Palermo 20% Expected goals 1.76 – 0.83
80%
Betarazi pick

Reggina or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Reggina to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultReggina to win ✓57% · @1.95
Double chanceReggina or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.38

Reggina vs AC Palermo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Reggina welcome AC Palermo to Stadio Oreste Granillo for a Serie D Girone I fixture on Sunday 10 May (15:00 WAT). In the table, Reggina are 1st, leading the league, on 26 points after 11 matches; AC Palermo are 10th (lower half) with 14. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Reggina, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Sambiase, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

AC Palermo, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Ragusa, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Reggina, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.5 for AC Palermo.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended AC Palermo 0–1 Reggina.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Reggina 1.8 xG, AC Palermo 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Reggina 57%, draw 23%, AC Palermo 20%.
  • Lower-risk option: Reggina or draw (80%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
  • Price worth noting: Reggina to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Reggina or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Reggina 1–0 AC Palermo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Reggina57%fair 1.77 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.30
AC Palermo20%fair 4.96 · @3.45
2.59Expected goals
1.76Reggina xG
0.83AC Palermo xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%

From our goals model: Reggina 1.8 – 0.8 AC Palermo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReggina to win ✓57%1.771.95 ▲
Double chanceReggina or draw ✓80%1.251.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.851.85
Draw no betReggina (draw no bet) ✓74%1.36–
Asian handicapAC Palermo +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.411.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.841.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.331.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreReggina to score first ✓63%1.59–
Half-time resultReggina ahead at half-time ✗42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Reggina / FT Reggina ✗37%2.70–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.38–

Recent results

Reggina – last 6

WWWWWW
3 Mayvs Sambiase4–2W
26 Apr@ Milazzo2–1W
19 Aprvs Paternò2–0W
15 Aprvs Enna2–1W
29 Mar@ AC Palermo1–0W
25 Mar@ Igea Virtus2–0W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

AC Palermo – last 6

WLWLLW
3 May@ Ragusa2–1W
26 Aprvs Savoia1–3L
19 Apr@ Vibonese3–2W
29 Marvs Reggina0–1L
22 Mar@ Nissa0–3L
15 Marvs Paternò4–2W
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Mar 2026AC Palermo v Reggina0–1
Reggina vs AC Palermo head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone I table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Reggina11821+2126
2Sambiase11821+1126
3Vibonese11731+1424
4Calcio Avola11614+119
5Milazzo11614+119
6Digiesse PraiaTortora11533+618
7Igea Virtus11533+318
8Gela11443+415
9Siracusa11632+814
10AC Palermo11425-114
11Licata11425-1114
12Modica11416+113
13Nissa11335+112
14Trapani 190511425-59
15CastrumFavara11227-78
16Vigor Lamezia11227-108
17Ragusa11038-143
18Enna11038-233

More Serie D Girone I predictions

League hub
FT Nissa4 Gelbison0 150%2.15X25%3.10225%3.20 1.6–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✗
FT Vibonese1 Acireale0 159%1.77X25%3.00216%4.80 1.7–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 68%@1.45 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Reggina vs AC Palermo?

Our pick is Reggina or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Reggina vs AC Palermo?

On our numbers Reggina have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and AC Palermo 20%.

How many goals will there be in Reggina vs AC Palermo?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Reggina vs AC Palermo?

Our predicted score is Reggina 1–0 AC Palermo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Reggina vs AC Palermo?

Reggina vs AC Palermo (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Oreste Granillo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.