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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gavorrano v Camaiore: numbers & prediction

3–2
FT
Gavorrano 48%Draw 25%Camaiore 26% Expected goals 1.67 – 0.96
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Gavorrano to win @ 2.45 – our chance 48% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultGavorrano to win ✓48% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.37

Gavorrano vs Camaiore: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Sunday 10 May: Gavorrano v Camaiore in the Serie D Girone E.

Current form

Gavorrano, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Tau Altopascio, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Camaiore, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sansepolcro, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 5. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Gavorrano, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.2 for Camaiore.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Apr 2026) it ended Gavorrano 1–0 Camaiore.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gavorrano 1.7 xG, Camaiore 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gavorrano 48%, draw 25%, Camaiore 26%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.77.
  • Price worth noting: Gavorrano to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 48%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gavorrano 1–0 Camaiore. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gavorrano48%fair 2.06 · @2.45
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.00
Camaiore26%fair 3.83 · @2.80
2.63Expected goals
1.67Gavorrano xG
0.96Camaiore xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%

From our goals model: Gavorrano 1.7 – 1.0 Camaiore expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

GavorranoCamaiore
Attack vs Serie D Girone E average+6%-2%
Goals conceded vs average-19%+18%
Our expected goals here1.920.84

Our own ratings from every Serie D Girone E result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGavorrano to win ✓48%2.062.45 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.341.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.851.77
Draw no betGavorrano (draw no bet) ✓65%1.54–
Asian handicapCamaiore +1 (Asian handicap)61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.411.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.871.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74%1.351.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗87%1.15–
First team to scoreGavorrano to score first59%1.70–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gavorrano / FT Gavorrano ✗33%3.03–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.37–

Recent results

Gavorrano – last 6

LWLWDL
3 Mayvs Tau Altopascio1–2L
26 Apr@ Scandicci3–1W
19 Aprvs Orvietana Calcio0–1L
2 Aprvs Camaiore1–0W
22 Marvs Montevarchi Calcio0–0D
15 Mar@ Foligno Calcio0–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Camaiore – last 6

DLLLLL
3 May@ Sansepolcro0–0D
26 Aprvs Robur Siena2–5L
19 Apr@ Terranuova Traiana1–2L
2 Apr@ Gavorrano0–1L
22 Mar@ Scandicci1–2L
22 Feb@ Montevarchi Calcio0–2L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Apr 2026Gavorrano v Camaiore1–0
Gavorrano vs Camaiore head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone E table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Prato11740+1325
2Robur Siena11713+1422
3Ternana11632+1221
4Gavorrano11560+721
5Flaminia11542+219
6Lucchese11533+318
7Terranuova Traiana11452+417
8Tau Altopascio11524-417
9Montevarchi Calcio11515+216
10Seravezza11434+515
11Scandicci11434+315
12San Donato Tavarnelle11425-214
13Sasso Marconi Zola11326-211
14Mezzolara11182-611
15Rondinella11245-810
16Grassina11146-117
17Progresso11209-166
18Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano11038-163

More Serie D Girone E predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gavorrano vs Camaiore?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Gavorrano vs Camaiore?

On our numbers Gavorrano have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Camaiore 26%.

How many goals will there be in Gavorrano vs Camaiore?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gavorrano vs Camaiore?

Our predicted score is Gavorrano 1–0 Camaiore, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Gavorrano vs Camaiore?

Gavorrano vs Camaiore (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.