Value bet: Gavorrano to win @ 2.45 – our chance 48% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGavorrano to win ✓48% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.37
Gavorrano vs Camaiore: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 10 May: Gavorrano v Camaiore in the Serie D Girone E.
Current form
Gavorrano, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Tau Altopascio, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Camaiore, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sansepolcro, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 5. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Gavorrano, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.2 for Camaiore.
Head to head
When they last met (2 Apr 2026) it ended Gavorrano 1–0 Camaiore.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gavorrano 1.7 xG, Camaiore 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gavorrano 48%, draw 25%, Camaiore 26%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Gavorrano to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gavorrano 1–0 Camaiore. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gavorrano48%fair 2.06 · @2.45
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.00
Camaiore26%fair 3.83 · @2.80
2.63Expected goals
1.67Gavorrano xG
0.96Camaiore xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Gavorrano 1.7 – 1.0 Camaiore expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Gavorrano
Camaiore
Attack vs Serie D Girone E average
+6%
-2%
Goals conceded vs average
-19%
+18%
Our expected goals here
1.92
0.84
Our own ratings from every Serie D Girone E result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Gavorrano vs Camaiore?
On our numbers Gavorrano have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Camaiore 26%.
How many goals will there be in Gavorrano vs Camaiore?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gavorrano vs Camaiore?
Our predicted score is Gavorrano 1–0 Camaiore, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Gavorrano vs Camaiore?
Gavorrano vs Camaiore (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.