Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPrato to win ✗45% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.78
Prato vs Robur Siena: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 10 May the Serie D Girone E brings Prato against Robur Siena. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Prato are 1st, leading the league, on 25 points after 11 matches; Robur Siena are 2nd (among the top four) with 22. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Prato, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Montevarchi Calcio, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Robur Siena, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 4–4 draw with Sporting Trestina, at home. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Prato, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.0 for Robur Siena.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Prato 3–3 Robur Siena.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Prato 1.5 xG, Robur Siena 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Prato 45%, draw 25%, Robur Siena 30%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Prato 1–1 Robur Siena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Prato45%fair 2.21 · @2.15
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.25
Robur Siena30%fair 3.38 · @3.10
2.61Expected goals
1.52Prato xG
1.09Robur Siena xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Prato 1.5 – 1.1 Robur Siena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Prato
Robur Siena
Attack vs Serie D Girone E average
+29%
+60%
Goals conceded vs average
-34%
-13%
Our expected goals here
1.72
1.09
Our own ratings from every Serie D Girone E result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Prato vs Robur Siena?
On our numbers Prato have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Robur Siena 30%.
How many goals will there be in Prato vs Robur Siena?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Prato vs Robur Siena?
Our predicted score is Prato 1–1 Robur Siena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Prato vs Robur Siena?
Prato vs Robur Siena (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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