Crema v Coriano Prediction & Expected Goals (10 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultCrema to win ✓45% · @2.05

Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.95

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.26

Crema vs Coriano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 10 May the Serie D Girone D brings Crema against Coriano. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Crema are 10th, lower half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Coriano are 15th (lower half) with 9.

Current form

Crema, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Piacenza, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Coriano, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Pro Palazzolo, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Coriano, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Crema.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Crema 1.4 xG, Coriano 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Crema 45%, draw 26%, Coriano 29%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Crema 1–1 Coriano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Crema45%fair 2.24 · @2.05

Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.20

Coriano29%fair 3.39 · @3.35

2.38Expected goals

1.40Crema xG

0.98Coriano xG

56%Both score

41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%

1–113%

0–09%

0–19%

2–09%

2–19%

From our goals model: Crema 1.4 – 1.0 Coriano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Crema to win ✓	45%	2.24	2.05
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	74%	1.35	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	56%	1.79	1.95 ▲
Draw no bet	Crema (draw no bet) ✓	60%	1.66	–
Asian handicap	Coriano +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	70%	1.42	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	67%	1.48	1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	59%	1.71	1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	78%	1.27	1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	91%	1.10	–
First team to score	Crema to score first ✓	53%	1.87	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	45%	2.22	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Crema / FT Crema ✓	27%	3.65	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.26	–

Crema – last 6

LDLLDD

3 May	@ Piacenza	1–3	L
26 Apr	vs Correggese	0–0	D
19 Apr	@ Pro Palazzolo	1–2	L
3 Apr	@ Pistoiese	2–4	L
29 Mar	vs Rovato Vertovese	0–0	D
15 Mar	vs Cittadella Vis Modena	0–0	D

0.7Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Coriano – last 6

DWLDLD

3 May	@ Pro Palazzolo	1–1	D
19 Apr	@ Pistoiese	1–0	W
8 Apr	vs Desenzano Calvina	0–1	L
2 Apr	@ Sangiuliano City	3–3	D
22 Mar	@ Rovato Vertovese	0–1	L
15 Mar	vs Sasso Marconi Zola	1–1	D

1.0Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

50%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Pistoiese	11	9	1	1	+19	28
2	Lentigione	11	7	3	1	+8	24
3	Pro Patria	11	6	3	2	+7	21
4	Castellanzese	11	6	1	4	+8	19
5	USD Casatese	11	6	1	4	+1	19
6	Pro Sesto	11	5	3	3	+12	18
7	Cittadella Vis Modena	11	5	2	4	+3	17
8	Solbiatese	11	4	5	2	+2	17
9	Sant'Angelo	11	4	3	4	0	15
10	Crema	11	4	3	4	-3	15
11	Città di Varese	11	3	5	3	+4	14
12	Pavia	11	3	5	3	+3	14
13	Correggese	11	3	3	5	-7	12
14	Varesina	11	2	5	4	-2	11
15	Coriano	11	2	3	6	-5	9
16	Pontedera	11	2	1	8	-16	7
17	Arconatese	11	1	3	7	-15	6
18	Oltrepò	11	1	2	8	-19	5

Team

Pts

+19

+12

Cittadella Vis Modena

-3

-7

-2

-5

-16

-15

-19

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Crema vs Coriano?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Crema vs Coriano?

On our numbers Crema have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Coriano 29%.

How many goals will there be in Crema vs Coriano?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Crema vs Coriano?

Our predicted score is Crema 1–1 Coriano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Crema vs Coriano?

Crema vs Coriano (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Crema v Coriano: numbers & prediction