Pistoiese vs Piacenza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pistoiese welcome Piacenza for a Serie D Girone D fixture on Sunday 10 May (15:00 WAT).
Current form
Pistoiese, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Cittadella Vis Modena, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Piacenza, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Crema, at home. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Piacenza, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.8 for Pistoiese.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pistoiese 1.6 xG, Piacenza 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pistoiese 55%, draw 25%, Piacenza 21%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pistoiese 1–0 Piacenza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pistoiese55%fair 1.82 · @1.55
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.80
Piacenza21%fair 4.88 · @5.25
2.57Expected goals
1.60Pistoiese xG
0.96Piacenza xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Pistoiese 1.6 – 1.0 Piacenza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pistoiese to win✗
55%
1.82
1.55
Double chance
Pistoiese or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.85
Draw no bet
Pistoiese (draw no bet)
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Piacenza +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Pistoiese to score first
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pistoiese / FT Pistoiese✗
32%
3.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.51
–
Recent results
Pistoiese – last 6
WDLWWD
3 May
vs Cittadella Vis Modena
5–0
W
26 Apr
@ Desenzano Calvina
1–1
D
19 Apr
vs Coriano
0–1
L
3 Apr
vs Crema
4–2
W
29 Mar
@ Sant'Angelo
3–1
W
25 Mar
@ Lentigione
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Piacenza – last 6
WWWLWW
3 May
vs Crema
3–1
W
19 Apr
vs Pro Sesto
3–1
W
2 Apr
vs Trevigliese
2–0
W
29 Mar
@ Lentigione
1–3
L
22 Mar
vs Progresso
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Correggese
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pistoiese and Piacenza.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Pistoiese vs Piacenza?
On our numbers Pistoiese have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Piacenza 21%.
How many goals will there be in Pistoiese vs Piacenza?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pistoiese vs Piacenza?
Our predicted score is Pistoiese 1–0 Piacenza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Pistoiese vs Piacenza?
Pistoiese vs Piacenza (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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