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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Castellanzese v Varesina: numbers & prediction

Serie D Girone B · Italy

Castellanzese

DLDLL
1–2
FT

Varesina

DDWWL
Castellanzese 40%Draw 28%Varesina 32% Expected goals 1.36 – 1.11
67%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.48Odds

Picks by market

ResultCastellanzese to win ✗40% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.52

Castellanzese vs Varesina: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Varesina travel to face Castellanzese on Sunday 10 May in the Serie D Girone B – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT.

Current form

Castellanzese, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Virtus Ciserano Bergamo, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Varesina, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Caldiero Terme, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Varesina, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.3 for Castellanzese.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Mar 2026) it ended Varesina 2–2 Castellanzese.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Castellanzese 1.4 xG, Varesina 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Castellanzese 40%, draw 28%, Varesina 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Castellanzese 1–1 Varesina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Castellanzese40%fair 2.50 · @2.55
Draw28%fair 3.61 · @2.80
Varesina32%fair 3.09 · @2.88
2.47Expected goals
1.36Castellanzese xG
1.11Varesina xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%

From our goals model: Castellanzese 1.4 – 1.1 Varesina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCastellanzese to win ✗40%2.502.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72%1.381.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.891.95
Draw no betCastellanzese (draw no bet) ✗55%1.81–
Asian handicapVaresina +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.501.48
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗59%1.711.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.281.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.12–
First team to scoreCastellanzese to score first50%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Castellanzese / FT Castellanzese ✗25%4.04–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.52–

Recent results

Castellanzese – last 6

DLDLLL
3 May@ Virtus Ciserano Bergamo1–1D
26 Aprvs Milan II1–3L
19 Apr@ Chievo2–2D
2 Apr@ USD Casatese0–1L
29 Marvs Scanzorosciate1–2L
22 Mar@ Pavia0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Varesina – last 6

DDWWLW
3 May@ Caldiero Terme2–2D
26 Aprvs Breno2–2D
19 Apr@ Milan II1–0W
2 Apr@ Virtus Ciserano Bergamo2–1W
28 Marvs Leon Monza e Brianza1–2L
22 Mar@ USD Casatese1–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Mar 2026Varesina v Castellanzese2–2
Castellanzese vs Varesina head-to-head page →

More Serie D Girone B predictions

League hub
– Chievo Milan II 145%2.10X24%3.20231%3.10 1.6–1.3xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 51%@1.62
FT USD Casatese4 Leon0 149%1.90X27%3.25225%3.90 1.4–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Castellanzese vs Varesina?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Castellanzese vs Varesina?

On our numbers Castellanzese have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Varesina 32%.

How many goals will there be in Castellanzese vs Varesina?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Castellanzese vs Varesina?

Our predicted score is Castellanzese 1–1 Varesina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Castellanzese vs Varesina?

Castellanzese vs Varesina (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.