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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

USD Casatese v Leon: numbers & prediction

Serie D Girone B · Italy

USD Casatese

WWWWL
4–0
FT

Leon

LDDWW
USD Casatese 49%Draw 27%Leon 25% Expected goals 1.40 – 1.07
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultUSD Casatese to win ✓49% · @1.90
Double chanceUSD Casatese or draw ✓75% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.25

USD Casatese vs Leon: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Leon travel to face USD Casatese on Sunday 10 May in the Serie D Girone B – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT.

Current form

USD Casatese, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Leon Monza e Brianza, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Leon, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to USD Casatese, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended USD Casatese 1–0 Leon Monza e Brianza.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give USD Casatese 1.4 xG, Leon 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – USD Casatese 49%, draw 27%, Leon 25%.
  • Lower-risk option: USD Casatese or draw (75%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.90.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: USD Casatese 1–1 Leon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

USD Casatese49%fair 2.05 · @1.90
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.25
Leon25%fair 4.06 · @3.90
2.47Expected goals
1.40USD Casatese xG
1.07Leon xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%

From our goals model: USD Casatese 1.4 – 1.1 Leon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUSD Casatese to win ✓49%2.051.90
Double chanceUSD Casatese or draw ✓75%1.331.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.881.90
Draw no betUSD Casatese (draw no bet) ✓66%1.50–
Asian handicapLeon +1 (Asian handicap) ✗72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.451.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.791.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76%1.311.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.12–
First team to scoreUSD Casatese to score first ✓52%1.92–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT USD Casatese / FT USD Casatese ✓26%3.81–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.25–

Recent results

USD Casatese – last 6

WWWWLL
3 Mayvs Leon Monza e Brianza1–0W
19 Aprvs Pavia1–0W
2 Aprvs Castellanzese1–0W
29 Mar@ Villa Valle1–0W
22 Marvs Varesina0–1L
15 Mar@ Sondrio1–3L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Leon – last 6

LDDWWW
3 May@ USD Casatese0–1L
26 Aprvs Chievo2–2D
19 Apr@ Scanzorosciate0–0D
2 Aprvs Pavia3–1W
28 Mar@ Varesina2–1W
22 Marvs Vogherese3–2W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 May 2026USD Casatese v Leon Monza e Brianza1–0
USD Casatese vs Leon head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Chievo11812+1625
2Nibbiano & Valtidone11812+925
3Milan II11722+623
4Piacenza11632+1021
5Leon11632+621
6Caldiero Terme11533+318
7Villa Valle11452+517
8Pavonese11443-116
9Scanzorosciate11353014
10Pro Palazzolo11425-514
11Real Calepina11344-413
12Virtus Verona11335-512
13Club Milano11326-411
14Rovato Vertovese11245-310
15Virtus Ciserano Bergamo11245-510
16Brusaporto11308-109
17Fiorenzuola11137-86
18Tritium11137-106

More Serie D Girone B predictions

League hub
FT Castellanzese1 Varesina2 140%2.55X28%2.80232%2.88 1.4–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 67%@1.48 ✓
– Chievo Milan II 145%2.10X24%3.20231%3.10 1.6–1.3xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 51%@1.62

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for USD Casatese vs Leon?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win USD Casatese vs Leon?

On our numbers USD Casatese have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Leon 25%.

How many goals will there be in USD Casatese vs Leon?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for USD Casatese vs Leon?

Our predicted score is USD Casatese 1–1 Leon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is USD Casatese vs Leon?

USD Casatese vs Leon (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.