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Atletico Nacional v Internacional de Bogota: numbers & prediction

Primera A · Colombia · Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Atletico Nacional 68%Draw 20%Internacional de Bogota 12% Expected goals 2.21 – 0.80
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultAtletico Nacional to win ✓68% · @1.40
Double chanceAtletico Nacional or draw ✓88% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.37

Atletico Nacional vs Internacional de Bogota: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Atletico Nacional welcome Internacional de Bogota to Estadio Atanasio Girardot for a Primera A fixture on Wednesday 13 May (00:20 WAT). In the table, Atletico Nacional are 1st, leading the league, on 39 points after 18 matches; Internacional de Bogota are 13th (lower half) with 20. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Atletico Nacional, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Once Caldas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Internacional de Bogota, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Chico, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Atletico Nacional, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Internacional de Bogota.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended Atletico Nacional 3–0 Internacional de Bogota.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Nacional 2.2 xG, Internacional de Bogota 0.8 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Nacional 68%, draw 20%, Internacional de Bogota 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Nacional 2–0 Internacional de Bogota. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atletico Nacional68%fair 1.47 · @1.40
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @4.50
Internacional de Bogota12%fair 8.36 · @7.50
3.01Expected goals
2.21Atletico Nacional xG
0.80Internacional de Bogota xG
52%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%

From our goals model: Atletico Nacional 2.2 – 0.8 Internacional de Bogota expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Atletico NacionalInternacional de Bogota
Attack vs Primera A average+48%+3%
Goals conceded vs average-19%+16%
Our expected goals here2.530.88

Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtletico Nacional to win ✓68%1.471.40
Double chanceAtletico Nacional or draw ✓88%1.141.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.912.00
Draw no betAtletico Nacional (draw no bet) ✓85%1.18–
Asian handicapAtletico Nacional -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.281.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.811.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.501.38
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗82%1.211.13
First team to scoreAtletico Nacional to score first70%1.43–
Half-time resultAtletico Nacional ahead at half-time ✓50%1.99–
Half-time / full-timeHT Atletico Nacional / FT Atletico Nacional ✓46%2.19–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.37–

Recent results

Atletico Nacional – last 6

LWWWDW
2 May@ Once Caldas0–1L
21 Aprvs Bucaramanga2–0W
12 Apr@ Independiente Medellin3–2W
7 Aprvs Jaguares2–1W
2 Aprvs Cucuta0–0D
30 Mar@ Deportivo Pasto2–1W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Internacional de Bogota – last 6

WLWDLD
27 Aprvs Chico4–0W
21 Apr@ Once Caldas1–2L
13 Aprvs Alianza Valledupar2–1W
4 Apr@ Fortaleza FC1–1D
22 Mar@ Atletico Nacional0–3L
19 Marvs Deportivo Pereira2–2D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Mar 2026Atletico Nacional v Internacional de Bogota3–0
Atletico Nacional vs Internacional de Bogota head-to-head page →

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Nacional191315+2040
2Junior191126+735
3Deportivo Pasto191045+434
4America de Cali191036+1033
5Once Caldas19892+933
6Deportes Tolima19874+1031
7Santa Fe19784+729
8Internacional de Bogota19775028
9Deportivo Cali19766+427
10Millonarios19757+826
11Independiente Medellin19757+226
12Águilas Doradas19757-526
13Bucaramanga19586+623
14Llaneros194105-322
15Fortaleza FC19577-522
16Jaguares195311-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19388-1417
18Chico195212-1717
19Cucuta19379-1316
20Deportivo Pereira191711-1710

More Primera A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atletico Nacional vs Internacional de Bogota?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Atletico Nacional vs Internacional de Bogota?

On our numbers Atletico Nacional have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Internacional de Bogota 12%.

How many goals will there be in Atletico Nacional vs Internacional de Bogota?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atletico Nacional vs Internacional de Bogota?

Our predicted score is Atletico Nacional 2–0 Internacional de Bogota, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Atletico Nacional vs Internacional de Bogota?

Atletico Nacional vs Internacional de Bogota (Primera A) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 00:20 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.