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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Santa Fe v America de Cali: numbers & prediction

Primera A · Colombia · Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin
4–0
FT
Santa Fe 41%Draw 28%America de Cali 31% Expected goals 1.24 – 1.04
80%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSanta Fe to win ✓41% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.20

Santa Fe vs America de Cali: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

02:30 WAT, Wednesday 13 May: Santa Fe v America de Cali in the Primera A, played at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin. In the table, Santa Fe are 5th, upper half, on 31 points after 18 matches; America de Cali are 2nd (among the top four) with 36.

Current form

Santa Fe, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with America de Cali, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

America de Cali, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Santa Fe, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours America de Cali, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Santa Fe.

Head to head

When they last met (10 May 2026) it ended America de Cali 1–1 Santa Fe. The last 2 head-to-heads: Santa Fe 0 wins, America de Cali 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Santa Fe 1.2 xG, America de Cali 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Santa Fe 41%, draw 28%, America de Cali 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santa Fe 1–1 America de Cali. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Santa Fe41%fair 2.41 · @2.20
Draw28%fair 3.60 · @3.15
America de Cali31%fair 3.24 · @3.35
2.28Expected goals
1.24Santa Fe xG
1.04America de Cali xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Santa Fe 1.2 – 1.0 America de Cali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Santa FeAmerica de Cali
Attack vs Primera A average+19%+14%
Goals conceded vs average-17%-32%
Our expected goals here1.201.01

Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSanta Fe to win ✓41%2.412.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72%1.381.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.872.00 ▲
Draw no betSanta Fe (draw no bet) ✓57%1.74–
Asian handicapAmerica de Cali +1 (Asian handicap) ✗77%1.31–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.521.45
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗60%1.671.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80%1.261.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.101.05
First team to scoreSanta Fe to score first ✓49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Santa Fe / FT Santa Fe ✓23%4.26–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.20–

Recent results

Santa Fe – last 6

DDLWLD
10 May@ America de Cali1–1D
7 Mayvs Corinthians1–1D
29 Apr@ Platense1–2L
24 Apr@ Deportivo Pasto2–1W
16 Apr@ Corinthians0–2L
10 Aprvs Penarol1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

America de Cali – last 6

DWWLLW
10 Mayvs Santa Fe1–1D
7 May@ Alianza Atletico2–0W
3 Mayvs Deportivo Pereira1–0W
1 May@ Tigre0–2L
26 Apr@ Deportivo Cali0–1L
23 Apr@ Fortaleza FC2–1W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 May 2026America de Cali v Santa Fe1–1
14 Feb 2026America de Cali v Santa Fe1–0
Santa Fe vs America de Cali head-to-head page →

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Nacional191315+2040
2Junior191126+735
3Deportivo Pasto191045+434
4America de Cali191036+1033
5Once Caldas19892+933
6Deportes Tolima19874+1031
7Santa Fe19784+729
8Internacional de Bogota19775028
9Deportivo Cali19766+427
10Millonarios19757+826
11Independiente Medellin19757+226
12Águilas Doradas19757-526
13Bucaramanga19586+623
14Llaneros194105-322
15Fortaleza FC19577-522
16Jaguares195311-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19388-1417
18Chico195212-1717
19Cucuta19379-1316
20Deportivo Pereira191711-1710

More Primera A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Santa Fe vs America de Cali?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Santa Fe vs America de Cali?

On our numbers Santa Fe have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 28% and America de Cali 31%.

How many goals will there be in Santa Fe vs America de Cali?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Santa Fe vs America de Cali?

Our predicted score is Santa Fe 1–1 America de Cali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Santa Fe vs America de Cali?

Santa Fe vs America de Cali (Primera A) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.