Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultJunior to win ✗45% · @2.04
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.08
Junior vs Once Caldas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Once Caldas travel to face Junior on Thursday 14 May in the Primera A, with Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez the venue – the ball rolls at 02:15 WAT. In the table, Junior are 14th, lower half, on 19 points after 18 matches; Once Caldas are 8th (upper half) with 27.
Current form
Junior, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Once Caldas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Once Caldas, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Junior, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (11 May 2026) it ended Once Caldas 0–1 Junior.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Junior 1.5 xG, Once Caldas 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Junior 45%, draw 26%, Once Caldas 29%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Junior 1–1 Once Caldas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Junior45%fair 2.22 · @2.04
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.40
Once Caldas29%fair 3.43 · @3.55
2.58Expected goals
1.46Junior xG
1.13Once Caldas xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Junior 1.5 – 1.1 Once Caldas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Junior
Once Caldas
Attack vs Primera A average
+13%
-5%
Goals conceded vs average
+7%
-18%
Our expected goals here
1.37
1.07
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Junior vs Once Caldas?
On our numbers Junior have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Once Caldas 29%.
How many goals will there be in Junior vs Once Caldas?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Junior vs Once Caldas?
Our predicted score is Junior 1–1 Once Caldas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Junior vs Once Caldas?
Junior vs Once Caldas (Primera A) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 02:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
