Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓65% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.99
Naft vs Al Minaa Basra: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:30 WAT, Thursday 14 May: Naft v Al Minaa Basra in the Iraqi League. In the table, Naft are 3rd, among the top four, on 25 points after 13 matches; Al Minaa Basra are 9th (upper half) with 17.
Current form
Naft, last 5: DDLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Al-Karma, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Al Minaa Basra, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Al-Qasim, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Naft 1.2 xG, Al Minaa Basra 0.8 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Naft 44%, draw 29%, Al Minaa Basra 27%.
Lower-risk option: Naft or draw (73%) at 1.22.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Naft or draw (73%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Naft 1–0 Al Minaa Basra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Naft44%fair 2.26 · @2.00
Draw29%fair 3.42 · @3.00
Al Minaa Basra27%fair 3.76 · @3.60
1.96Expected goals
1.19Naft xG
0.77Al Minaa Basra xG
42%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–014%
1–113%
0–111%
2–010%
2–18%
From our goals model: Naft 1.2 – 0.8 Al Minaa Basra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Naft to win✗
44%
2.26
2.00
Double chance
Naft or draw✓
73%
1.36
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
–
Draw no bet
Naft (draw no bet)
62%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
Al Minaa Basra +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Naft to score first
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Naft / FT Naft✗
26%
3.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.99
–
Recent results
Naft – last 6
DDLWDD
5 May
vs Al-Karma
0–0
D
22 Apr
@ Mosul
0–0
D
14 Apr
vs Erbil
0–2
L
9 Apr
vs Gharraf
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0–0
D
30 Mar
@ Al Talaba
0–0
D
0.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Al Minaa Basra – last 6
DWWLLL
6 May
@ Al-Qasim
3–3
D
28 Apr
@ Gharraf
1–0
W
21 Apr
vs Baghdad
4–0
W
13 Apr
@ Newroz
1–4
L
9 Apr
@ Al Kahrabaa
0–2
L
5 Apr
vs Naft Maysan
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Naft and Al Minaa Basra.
What is the prediction for Naft vs Al Minaa Basra?
Our pick is Naft or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Naft vs Al Minaa Basra?
On our numbers Naft have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Al Minaa Basra 27%.
How many goals will there be in Naft vs Al Minaa Basra?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naft vs Al Minaa Basra?
Our predicted score is Naft 1–0 Al Minaa Basra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Naft vs Al Minaa Basra?
Naft vs Al Minaa Basra (Iraqi League) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
