Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultAl-Karma to win ✗59% · @1.50
Double chanceAl-Karma or draw ✓84% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.73
Naft Maysan vs Al-Karma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 14 May the Iraqi League brings Naft Maysan against Al-Karma. Kick-off: 15:30 WAT. In the table, Naft Maysan are 19th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 13 matches; Al-Karma are 1st (leading the league) with 30. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Naft Maysan, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Duhok, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Al-Karma, last 5: DDDDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Naft, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Al-Karma, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Naft Maysan.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Naft Maysan 0.8 xG, Al-Karma 1.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 43%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Naft Maysan 16%, draw 25%, Al-Karma 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Naft Maysan 0–1 Al-Karma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Naft Maysan16%fair 6.17 · @6.50
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.50
Al-Karma59%fair 1.70 · @1.50
2.40Expected goals
0.76Naft Maysan xG
1.63Al-Karma xG
43%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–09%
1–07%
From our goals model: Naft Maysan 0.8 – 1.6 Al-Karma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Karma to win✗
59%
1.70
1.50
Double chance
Al-Karma or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
–
Draw no bet
Al-Karma (draw no bet)
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Naft Maysan +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Al-Karma to score first✗
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Karma / FT Al-Karma✗
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.73
–
Recent results
Naft Maysan – last 6
LLDLWL
5 May
@ Duhok
1–2
L
1 May
@ Zakho
1–3
L
13 Apr
vs Mosul
1–1
D
9 Apr
@ Diyala
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ Al Minaa Basra
1–0
W
31 Mar
@ Newroz
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Al-Karma – last 6
DDDDWL
5 May
@ Naft
0–0
D
26 Apr
@ Al-Qasim
2–2
D
22 Apr
@ Al Karkh
0–0
D
17 Apr
vs Al Shorta
1–1
D
8 Apr
vs Duhok
3–0
W
30 Mar
@ Baghdad
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Naft Maysan and Al-Karma.
What is the prediction for Naft Maysan vs Al-Karma?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Naft Maysan vs Al-Karma?
On our numbers Naft Maysan have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Al-Karma 59%.
How many goals will there be in Naft Maysan vs Al-Karma?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naft Maysan vs Al-Karma?
Our predicted score is Naft Maysan 0–1 Al-Karma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Naft Maysan vs Al-Karma?
Naft Maysan vs Al-Karma (Iraqi League) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
