Renate vs Casarano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Casarano travel to face Renate on Wednesday 13 May in the Serie C Promotion Play Offs, with Mino Favini the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT.
Current form
Renate, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Trento, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Casarano, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Cosenza, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Renate 1.5 xG, Casarano 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Renate 40%, draw 26%, Casarano 35%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Renate 1–1 Casarano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Renate40%fair 2.53 · @2.40
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.10
Casarano35%fair 2.86 · @2.75
2.87Expected goals
1.55Renate xG
1.32Casarano xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Renate 1.5 – 1.3 Casarano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Renate to win✗
40%
2.53
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.70
Draw no bet
Renate (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Casarano +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Renate to score first✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Renate / FT Renate✗
25%
3.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.13
–
Recent results
Renate – last 6
DWDDWL
19 Apr
@ Trento
3–3
D
13 Apr
vs PRO Vercelli
2–1
W
3 Apr
@ Arzignano Valchiampo
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Virtus Verona
2–2
D
3 Mar
@ Lecco
3–0
W
16 Feb
@ Cittadella
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Casarano – last 6
WWWDLD
6 May
@ Cosenza
5–1
W
6 Apr
vs Potenza
2–1
W
29 Mar
vs Giugliano
2–0
W
23 Mar
@ Catania
1–1
D
9 Mar
@ SS Monopoli
1–2
L
5 Mar
vs Siracusa
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Renate and Casarano.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Renate vs Casarano?
On our numbers Renate have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Casarano 35%.
How many goals will there be in Renate vs Casarano?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Renate vs Casarano?
Our predicted score is Renate 1–1 Casarano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Renate vs Casarano?
Renate vs Casarano (Serie C Promotion Play Offs) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Mino Favini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie C Promotion Play Offs · Italy · Mino Favini
Lecco1
Pianese1
Ravenna1
Cittadella1
Salernitana1
Casertana1
Potenza3
Campobasso FC1