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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Salernitana v Casertana: numbers & prediction

Serie C Promotion Play Offs · Italy · Stadio Arechi

Salernitana

LWWWL
1–1
FT

Casertana

DWDWL
Salernitana 47%Draw 29%Casertana 24% Expected goals 1.50 – 1.12
76%
Betarazi pick

Salernitana or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultSalernitana to win ✗47% · @1.91
Double chanceSalernitana or draw ✓76% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.91

Salernitana vs Casertana: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 13 May the Serie C Promotion Play Offs brings Salernitana against Casertana at Stadio Arechi. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT.

Current form

Salernitana, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Benevento, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Casertana, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Crotone, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Mar 2026) it ended Casertana 1–0 Salernitana.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Salernitana 1.5 xG, Casertana 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Salernitana 47%, draw 29%, Casertana 24%.
  • Lower-risk option: Salernitana or draw (76%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Salernitana or draw (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Salernitana 1–1 Casertana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Salernitana47%fair 2.11 · @1.91
Draw29%fair 3.48 · @3.20
Casertana24%fair 4.19 · @3.75
2.62Expected goals
1.50Salernitana xG
1.12Casertana xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Salernitana 1.5 – 1.1 Casertana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSalernitana to win ✗47%2.111.91
Double chanceSalernitana or draw ✓76%1.311.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.801.70
Draw no betSalernitana (draw no bet)67%1.50–
Asian handicapCasertana +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.381.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.941.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.381.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreSalernitana to score first53%1.89–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Salernitana / FT Salernitana ✗27%3.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.91–

Recent results

Salernitana – last 6

LWWWLD
6 Aprvs Benevento0–1L
23 Marvs Team Altamura2–1W
15 Mar@ Crotone1–0W
8 Marvs Latina2–1W
5 Mar@ Casertana0–1L
1 Marvs Catania0–0D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Casertana – last 5

DWDWL
6 Mayvs Crotone1–1D
15 Marvs SS Monopoli2–1W
9 Mar@ Catania0–0D
5 Marvs Salernitana1–0W
1 Mar@ Siracusa0–4L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Mar 2026Casertana v Salernitana1–0
Salernitana vs Casertana head-to-head page →

More Serie C Promotion Play Offs predictions

FT Lecco1 Pianese1 145%2.15X28%2.95227%3.40 1.4–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✓
FT Ravenna1 Cittadella1 140%2.15X27%3.10233%3.25 1.4–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.38 ✓
FT Renate0 Casarano3 140%2.40X26%3.10235%2.75 1.5–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.33 ✓
FT Potenza3 Campobasso FC1 150%2.20X23%3.30227%2.90 1.9–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Salernitana vs Casertana?

Our pick is Salernitana or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Salernitana vs Casertana?

On our numbers Salernitana have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Casertana 24%.

How many goals will there be in Salernitana vs Casertana?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Salernitana vs Casertana?

Our predicted score is Salernitana 1–1 Casertana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Salernitana vs Casertana?

Salernitana vs Casertana (Serie C Promotion Play Offs) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Arechi.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.