Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
2
Value bet: Santa Cruz RS to win @ 3.80 – our chance 29% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGramadense to win ✗43% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.92
Gramadense vs Santa Cruz RS: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Santa Cruz RS travel to face Gramadense on Wednesday 13 May in the Copa Gaúcha – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gramadense 1.3 xG, Santa Cruz RS 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 36%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gramadense 43%, draw 28%, Santa Cruz RS 29%.
Price worth noting: Santa Cruz RS to win @3.80 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gramadense 1–1 Santa Cruz RS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gramadense43%fair 2.32 · @2.05
Draw28%fair 3.57 · @2.80
Santa Cruz RS29%fair 3.47 · @3.80
2.33Expected goals
1.29Gramadense xG
1.03Santa Cruz RS xG
47%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Gramadense 1.3 – 1.0 Santa Cruz RS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gramadense to win✗
43%
2.32
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
–
Draw no bet
Gramadense (draw no bet)✗
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Santa Cruz RS +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Gramadense to score first✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gramadense / FT Gramadense✗
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.92
–
Recent results
Gramadense
No recent results on record.
Santa Cruz RS
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gramadense and Santa Cruz RS.
What is the prediction for Gramadense vs Santa Cruz RS?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Gramadense vs Santa Cruz RS?
On our numbers Gramadense have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Santa Cruz RS 29%.
How many goals will there be in Gramadense vs Santa Cruz RS?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gramadense vs Santa Cruz RS?
Our predicted score is Gramadense 1–1 Santa Cruz RS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Gramadense vs Santa Cruz RS?
Gramadense vs Santa Cruz RS (Copa Gaúcha) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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