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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Brasil DE Pelotas v Guarany de Bagé: numbers & prediction

Copa Gaúcha · Brazil

Brasil DE Pelotas

W
2–0
FT

Guarany de Bagé

LLWWW
Brasil DE Pelotas 47%Draw 26%Guarany de Bagé 26% Expected goals 1.55 – 0.95
74%
Betarazi pick

Brasil DE Pelotas or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
1

Value bet: Brasil DE Pelotas to win @ 2.25 – our chance 47% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultBrasil DE Pelotas to win ✓47% · @2.25
Double chanceBrasil DE Pelotas or draw ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.83

Brasil DE Pelotas vs Guarany de Bagé: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 13 May the Copa Gaúcha brings Brasil DE Pelotas against Guarany de Bagé. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT.

Current form

Guarany de Bagé, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Cianorte, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Brasil DE Pelotas 1.6 xG, Guarany de Bagé 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Brasil DE Pelotas 47%, draw 26%, Guarany de Bagé 26%.
  • Lower-risk option: Brasil DE Pelotas or draw (74%) at 1.28.
  • Price worth noting: Brasil DE Pelotas to win @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 47%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Brasil DE Pelotas or draw (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Brasil DE Pelotas 1–0 Guarany de Bagé. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Brasil DE Pelotas47%fair 2.11 · @2.25
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @2.88
Guarany de Bagé26%fair 3.82 · @3.10
2.50Expected goals
1.55Brasil DE Pelotas xG
0.95Guarany de Bagé xG
49%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%

From our goals model: Brasil DE Pelotas 1.6 – 0.9 Guarany de Bagé expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBrasil DE Pelotas to win ✓47%2.112.25 ▲
Double chanceBrasil DE Pelotas or draw ✓74%1.351.28
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.95–
Draw no betBrasil DE Pelotas (draw no bet) ✓64%1.55–
Asian handicapGuarany de Bagé +1 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.761.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreBrasil DE Pelotas to score first ✓57%1.75–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Brasil DE Pelotas / FT Brasil DE Pelotas ✓31%3.22–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13%7.83–

Recent results

Brasil DE Pelotas – last 1

W
5 Aprvs Azuriz2–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Guarany de Bagé – last 5

LLWWW
5 Apr@ Cianorte1–3L
11 Mar@ Ponte Preta0–1L
26 Feb@ Caxias1–0W
21 Feb@ Inter Santa Maria1–0W
16 Febvs Inter Santa Maria3–2W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Brasil DE Pelotas and Guarany de Bagé.

Brasil DE Pelotas vs Guarany de Bagé head-to-head page →

More Copa Gaúcha predictions

FT Gramadense1 Santa Cruz RS2 143%2.05X28%2.80229%3.80 1.3–1.0xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 64%@1.36 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Brasil DE Pelotas vs Guarany de Bagé?

Our pick is Brasil DE Pelotas or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Brasil DE Pelotas vs Guarany de Bagé?

On our numbers Brasil DE Pelotas have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Guarany de Bagé 26%.

How many goals will there be in Brasil DE Pelotas vs Guarany de Bagé?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Brasil DE Pelotas vs Guarany de Bagé?

Our predicted score is Brasil DE Pelotas 1–0 Guarany de Bagé, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Brasil DE Pelotas vs Guarany de Bagé?

Brasil DE Pelotas vs Guarany de Bagé (Copa Gaúcha) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.