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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Farroupilha v Bagé: numbers & prediction

Copa Gaúcha · Brazil

Farroupilha

LDLL
1–2
FT

Bagé

LDLWW
Farroupilha 19%Draw 28%Bagé 52% Expected goals 0.82 – 1.27
65%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultBagé to win ✓52% · @1.64
Double chanceBagé or draw ✓81% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.45
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.39

Farroupilha vs Bagé: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Bagé travel to face Farroupilha on Wednesday 17 June in the Copa Gaúcha – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT.

Current form

Farroupilha, last 4: LDLL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Brasil DE Pelotas, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Bagé, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Guarany de Bagé, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Bagé, collecting 1.4 points per game to 0.3 for Farroupilha.

Head to head

When they last met (14 May 2026) it ended Bagé 1–0 Farroupilha.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Farroupilha 0.8 xG, Bagé 1.3 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Farroupilha 19%, draw 28%, Bagé 52%.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.45.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Farroupilha 0–1 Bagé. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Farroupilha19%fair 5.15 · @5.75
Draw28%fair 3.55 · @3.20
Bagé52%fair 1.91 · @1.64
2.09Expected goals
0.82Farroupilha xG
1.27Bagé xG
50%Both score
35%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–116%
1–113%
0–012%
1–010%
0–210%
1–28%

From our goals model: Farroupilha 0.8 – 1.3 Bagé expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBagé to win ✓52%1.911.64
Double chanceBagé or draw ✓81%1.241.08
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%1.981.45
Draw no betBagé (draw no bet) ✓73%1.37–
Asian handicapFarroupilha +1 (Asian handicap)71%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓61%1.641.55
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗65%1.541.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.07–
First team to scoreBagé to score first53%1.88–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bagé / FT Bagé ✗27%3.69–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16%6.39–

Recent results

Farroupilha – last 4

LDLL
10 Jun@ Brasil DE Pelotas0–4L
3 Junvs Guarany de Bagé1–1D
21 Mayvs Brasil DE Pelotas0–1L
14 May@ Bagé0–1L
0.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Bagé – last 5

LDLWW
14 Junvs Guarany de Bagé1–2L
4 Junvs Brasil DE Pelotas1–1D
27 May@ Brasil DE Pelotas0–1L
21 May@ Guarany de Bagé1–0W
14 Mayvs Farroupilha1–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 May 2026Bagé v Farroupilha1–0
Farroupilha vs Bagé head-to-head page →

More Copa Gaúcha predictions

FT Santa Cruz RS2 Gramadense2 142%2.25X27%2.95231%3.20 1.3–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 67%@1.45 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Farroupilha vs Bagé?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Farroupilha vs Bagé?

On our numbers Farroupilha have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Bagé 52%.

How many goals will there be in Farroupilha vs Bagé?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Farroupilha vs Bagé?

Our predicted score is Farroupilha 0–1 Bagé, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Farroupilha vs Bagé?

Farroupilha vs Bagé (Copa Gaúcha) kicks off on Wednesday 17 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.