Santa Cruz RS 42%Draw 27%Gramadense 31%Expected goals 1.34 – 1.11
67%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSanta Cruz RS to win ✗42% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.61
Santa Cruz RS vs Gramadense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 17 June the Copa Gaúcha brings Santa Cruz RS against Gramadense. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT.
Current form
Santa Cruz RS, last 4: DDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Brasil Farroupilha, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Gramadense, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Monsoon, at home. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (13 May 2026) it ended Gramadense 1–2 Santa Cruz RS.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santa Cruz RS 1.3 xG, Gramadense 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santa Cruz RS 42%, draw 27%, Gramadense 31%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santa Cruz RS 1–1 Gramadense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santa Cruz RS42%fair 2.39 · @2.25
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @2.95
Gramadense31%fair 3.26 · @3.20
2.45Expected goals
1.34Santa Cruz RS xG
1.11Gramadense xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
2–19%
0–09%
2–08%
From our goals model: Santa Cruz RS 1.3 – 1.1 Gramadense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Santa Cruz RS vs Gramadense?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Santa Cruz RS vs Gramadense?
On our numbers Santa Cruz RS have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Gramadense 31%.
How many goals will there be in Santa Cruz RS vs Gramadense?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santa Cruz RS vs Gramadense?
Our predicted score is Santa Cruz RS 1–1 Gramadense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Santa Cruz RS vs Gramadense?
Santa Cruz RS vs Gramadense (Copa Gaúcha) kicks off on Wednesday 17 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Copa Gaúcha · Brazil
Farroupilha1
Bagé2