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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Fortaleza EC v Sport Recife: numbers & prediction

Copa Do Nordeste · Brazil · Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho

Fortaleza EC

LDWWW
1–2
FT

Sport Recife

LWLWW
Fortaleza EC 51%Draw 26%Sport Recife 24% Expected goals 1.52 – 1.03
76%
Betarazi pick

Fortaleza EC or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultFortaleza EC to win ✗51% · @1.91
Double chanceFortaleza EC or draw ✗76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.78

Fortaleza EC vs Sport Recife: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sport Recife travel to face Fortaleza EC on Thursday 21 May in the Copa Do Nordeste, with Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT.

Current form

Fortaleza EC, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Ceara, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Sport Recife, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to CRB, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (30 Apr 2026) it ended Fortaleza EC 2–0 Sport Recife.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fortaleza EC 1.5 xG, Sport Recife 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Fortaleza EC 51%, draw 26%, Sport Recife 24%.
  • Lower-risk option: Fortaleza EC or draw (76%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Fortaleza EC or draw (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fortaleza EC 1–1 Sport Recife. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fortaleza EC51%fair 1.96 · @1.91
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.40
Sport Recife24%fair 4.25 · @3.55
2.54Expected goals
1.52Fortaleza EC xG
1.03Sport Recife xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%

From our goals model: Fortaleza EC 1.5 – 1.0 Sport Recife expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFortaleza EC to win ✗51%1.961.91
Double chanceFortaleza EC or draw ✗76%1.311.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.701.60
Draw no betFortaleza EC (draw no bet) ✗68%1.46–
Asian handicapSport Recife +1 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.361.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓50%2.001.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.411.38
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
First team to scoreFortaleza EC to score first ✗55%1.82–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Fortaleza EC / FT Fortaleza EC ✗29%3.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.78–

Recent results

Fortaleza EC – last 6

LDWWWW
17 May@ Ceara1–2L
15 May@ CRB0–0D
7 May@ Confiança2–1W
3 Mayvs Goias4–1W
30 Aprvs Sport Recife2–0W
23 Aprvs CRB2–1W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Sport Recife – last 6

LWLWWW
18 Mayvs CRB1–2L
7 Mayvs ASA1–0W
30 Apr@ Fortaleza EC0–2L
26 Aprvs Novorizontino1–0W
16 Aprvs Maranhão5–0W
9 Aprvs Retrô3–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

30 Apr 2026Fortaleza EC v Sport Recife2–0
Fortaleza EC vs Sport Recife head-to-head page →

More Copa Do Nordeste predictions

FT Vitoria6 ABC2 150%1.53X26%3.45223%6.40 1.5–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.38 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fortaleza EC vs Sport Recife?

Our pick is Fortaleza EC or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Fortaleza EC vs Sport Recife?

On our numbers Fortaleza EC have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sport Recife 24%.

How many goals will there be in Fortaleza EC vs Sport Recife?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fortaleza EC vs Sport Recife?

Our predicted score is Fortaleza EC 1–1 Sport Recife, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Fortaleza EC vs Sport Recife?

Fortaleza EC vs Sport Recife (Copa Do Nordeste) kicks off on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.