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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Vitoria v ABC: numbers & prediction

Copa Do Nordeste · Brazil · Barradao

Vitoria

LWWDL
6–2
FT

ABC

WWWWW
Vitoria 50%Draw 26%ABC 23% Expected goals 1.54 – 1.32
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.38Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 56% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultVitoria to win ✓50% · @1.53
Double chanceVitoria or draw ✓77% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.14

Vitoria vs ABC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 21 May the Copa Do Nordeste brings Vitoria against ABC at Barradao. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT.

Current form

Vitoria, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to RB Bragantino, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

ABC, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Juazeirense, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.

Momentum favours ABC, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.3 for Vitoria.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Vitoria 1.5 xG, ABC 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Vitoria 50%, draw 26%, ABC 23%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vitoria 1–1 ABC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Vitoria50%fair 1.99 · @1.53
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.45
ABC23%fair 4.26 · @6.40
2.86Expected goals
1.54Vitoria xG
1.32ABC xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–07%

From our goals model: Vitoria 1.5 – 1.3 ABC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVitoria to win ✓50%1.991.53
Double chanceVitoria or draw ✓77%1.311.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.802.10 ▲
Draw no betVitoria (draw no bet) ✓68%1.47–
Asian handicapABC +1 (Asian handicap) ✗73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.381.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.961.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.391.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗84%1.19–
First team to scoreVitoria to score first51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.46–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vitoria / FT Vitoria ✗25%3.94–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.14–

Recent results

Vitoria – last 6

LWWDLD
17 May@ RB Bragantino0–2L
15 Mayvs Flamengo2–0W
7 Mayvs Ceara1–0W
30 Apr@ Confiança2–2D
23 Apr@ Flamengo1–2L
19 Aprvs Corinthians0–0D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

ABC – last 6

WWWWWL
6 Mayvs Juazeirense4–0W
30 Aprvs Ferroviario4–1W
22 Apr@ America-RN2–1W
16 Apr@ Imperatriz3–1W
7 Apr@ America-RN3–0W
29 Marvs Sport Recife0–1L
2.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Vitoria and ABC.

Vitoria vs ABC head-to-head page →

More Copa Do Nordeste predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vitoria vs ABC?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win Vitoria vs ABC?

On our numbers Vitoria have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 26% and ABC 23%.

How many goals will there be in Vitoria vs ABC?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vitoria vs ABC?

Our predicted score is Vitoria 1–1 ABC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Vitoria vs ABC?

Vitoria vs ABC (Copa Do Nordeste) kicks off on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Barradao.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.