Value bet: ABC to win @ 2.85 – our chance 41% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultABC to win ✗41% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.62
ABC vs Vitoria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:30 WAT, Thursday 28 May: ABC v Vitoria in the Copa Do Nordeste.
Current form
ABC, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with America-RN, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.
Vitoria, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 6–2 win over ABC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Head to head
When they last met (21 May 2026) it ended Vitoria 6–2 ABC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ABC 1.8 xG, Vitoria 1.3 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 53% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ABC 41%, draw 25%, Vitoria 34%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: ABC to win @2.85 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: ABC 1–1 Vitoria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ABC41%fair 2.45 · @2.85
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.20
Vitoria34%fair 2.92 · @2.33
3.12Expected goals
1.79ABC xG
1.33Vitoria xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
2–07%
1–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: ABC 1.8 – 1.3 Vitoria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win ABC vs Vitoria?
On our numbers ABC have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Vitoria 34%.
How many goals will there be in ABC vs Vitoria?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ABC vs Vitoria?
Our predicted score is ABC 1–1 Vitoria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is ABC vs Vitoria?
ABC vs Vitoria (Copa Do Nordeste) kicks off on Thursday 28 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Copa Do Nordeste · Brazil
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