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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sport Recife v Fortaleza EC: numbers & prediction

Copa Do Nordeste · Brazil · Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho

Sport Recife

WWLWL
0–2
FT

Fortaleza EC

LLDWW
Sport Recife 41%Draw 26%Fortaleza EC 32% Expected goals 1.33 – 1.17
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultSport Recife to win ✗41% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.78

Sport Recife vs Fortaleza EC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:30 WAT, Thursday 28 May: Sport Recife v Fortaleza EC in the Copa Do Nordeste, played at Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho.

Current form

Sport Recife, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Juventude, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Fortaleza EC, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sport Recife, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (21 May 2026) it ended Fortaleza EC 1–2 Sport Recife. The last 2 head-to-heads: Sport Recife 1 win, Fortaleza EC 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sport Recife 1.3 xG, Fortaleza EC 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sport Recife 41%, draw 26%, Fortaleza EC 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sport Recife 1–1 Fortaleza EC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sport Recife41%fair 2.42 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.25
Fortaleza EC32%fair 3.08 · @2.95
2.50Expected goals
1.33Sport Recife xG
1.17Fortaleza EC xG
60%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–27%

From our goals model: Sport Recife 1.3 – 1.2 Fortaleza EC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSport Recife to win ✗41%2.422.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.361.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.681.70
Draw no betSport Recife (draw no bet) ✗56%1.79–
Asian handicapFortaleza EC +1 (Asian handicap) ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.411.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.871.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.351.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreSport Recife to score first ✗49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sport Recife / FT Sport Recife ✗23%4.27–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.78–

Recent results

Sport Recife – last 6

WWLWLW
24 May@ Juventude1–0W
21 May@ Fortaleza EC2–1W
18 Mayvs CRB1–2L
7 Mayvs ASA1–0W
30 Apr@ Fortaleza EC0–2L
26 Aprvs Novorizontino1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Fortaleza EC – last 6

LLDWWW
21 Mayvs Sport Recife1–2L
17 May@ Ceara1–2L
15 May@ CRB0–0D
7 May@ Confiança2–1W
3 Mayvs Goias4–1W
30 Aprvs Sport Recife2–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 May 2026Fortaleza EC v Sport Recife1–2
30 Apr 2026Fortaleza EC v Sport Recife2–0
Sport Recife vs Fortaleza EC head-to-head page →

More Copa Do Nordeste predictions

FT ABC3 Vitoria4 141%2.85X25%3.20234%2.33 1.8–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.35 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sport Recife vs Fortaleza EC?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Sport Recife vs Fortaleza EC?

On our numbers Sport Recife have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Fortaleza EC 32%.

How many goals will there be in Sport Recife vs Fortaleza EC?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sport Recife vs Fortaleza EC?

Our predicted score is Sport Recife 1–1 Fortaleza EC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Sport Recife vs Fortaleza EC?

Sport Recife vs Fortaleza EC (Copa Do Nordeste) kicks off on Thursday 28 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.