Wednesday 11 November 2026 20 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rentistas v Miramar: numbers & prediction

Segunda División · Uruguay · Complejo Rentistas
1–0
FT

Miramar

DDLWL
Rentistas 56%Draw 25%Miramar 19% Expected goals 1.49 – 0.74
79%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Rentistas to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultRentistas to win ✓56% · @1.91
Double chanceRentistas or draw ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.34

Rentistas vs Miramar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:00 WAT, Sunday 17 May: Rentistas v Miramar in the Segunda División, played at Complejo Rentistas. In the table, Rentistas are 2nd, among the top four, on 40 points after 25 matches; Miramar are 12th (in the drop zone) with 30.

Current form

Rentistas, last 4: DLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Miramar, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Miramar, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with CA River Plate, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Apr 2026) it ended Rentistas 1–1 Miramar.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rentistas 1.5 xG, Miramar 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rentistas 56%, draw 25%, Miramar 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Rentistas or draw (81%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.90.
  • Price worth noting: Rentistas to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rentistas 1–0 Miramar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rentistas56%fair 1.80 · @1.91
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.20
Miramar19%fair 5.23 · @3.75
2.23Expected goals
1.49Rentistas xG
0.74Miramar xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%

From our goals model: Rentistas 1.5 – 0.7 Miramar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

RentistasMiramar
Attack vs Segunda División average+21%-13%
Goals conceded vs average-9%+2%
Our expected goals here1.610.80

Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRentistas to win ✓56%1.801.91 ▲
Double chanceRentistas or draw ✓81%1.241.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.871.90
Draw no betRentistas (draw no bet) ✓74%1.34–
Asian handicapMiramar +1 (Asian handicap)61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗66%1.511.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓59%1.691.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.271.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.08–
First team to scoreRentistas to score first ✓60%1.68–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rentistas / FT Rentistas ✓33%3.02–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.34–

Recent results

Rentistas – last 4

DLWD
29 Aprvs Miramar1–1D
20 Aprvs Oriental1–2L
10 Apr@ Paysandu1–0W
23 Mar@ CA River Plate1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Miramar – last 5

DDLWL
10 Mayvs CA River Plate1–1D
29 Apr@ Rentistas1–1D
12 Apr@ Oriental1–2L
7 Aprvs CA River Plate1–0W
27 Mar@ Paysandu0–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Apr 2026Rentistas v Miramar1–1
Rentistas vs Miramar head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Oriental6411+313
2Plaza Colonia6330+712
3Fenix6321+611
4Sportivo Huracan6240+310
5Colón6231+39
6Uruguay Montevideo6231+29
7Rentistas6231+19
8Cerrito623109
9La Luz6141-17
10Miramar6123-45
11Paysandu6114-34
12Atenas6114-64
13CA River Plate6114-74
14Tacuarembo6033-43

More Segunda División predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rentistas vs Miramar?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Rentistas vs Miramar?

On our numbers Rentistas have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Miramar 19%.

How many goals will there be in Rentistas vs Miramar?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rentistas vs Miramar?

Our predicted score is Rentistas 1–0 Miramar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Rentistas vs Miramar?

Rentistas vs Miramar (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Complejo Rentistas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.