Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Picks by market
ResultFenix to win ✗50% · @1.95
Double chanceFenix or draw ✗77% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.38
Fenix vs Tacuarembo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 17 May the Segunda División brings Fenix against Tacuarembo at Parque Capurro. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Fenix are 11th, lower half, on 31 points after 25 matches; Tacuarembo are 13th (in the drop zone) with 26.
Current form
Fenix, last 4: WWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Oriental, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Tacuarembo, last 4: LLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Atenas, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Fenix, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.3 for Tacuarembo.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Fenix 3–2 Tacuarembo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fenix 1.4 xG, Tacuarembo 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fenix 50%, draw 27%, Tacuarembo 23%.
Lower-risk option: Fenix or draw (77%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.05.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fenix 1–1 Tacuarembo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fenix50%fair 2.01 · @1.95
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @3.10
Tacuarembo23%fair 4.39 · @3.75
2.25Expected goals
1.40Fenix xG
0.85Tacuarembo xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–011%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Fenix 1.4 – 0.9 Tacuarembo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Fenix
Tacuarembo
Attack vs Segunda División average
-4%
-28%
Goals conceded vs average
+7%
+3%
Our expected goals here
1.29
0.78
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Fenix vs Tacuarembo?
On our numbers Fenix have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Tacuarembo 23%.
How many goals will there be in Fenix vs Tacuarembo?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fenix vs Tacuarembo?
Our predicted score is Fenix 1–1 Tacuarembo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Fenix vs Tacuarembo?
Fenix vs Tacuarembo (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Capurro.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
