Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.40
Al Najaf vs Al Karkh: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 20 May the Iraqi League brings Al Najaf against Al Karkh. Kick-off: 15:30 WAT.
Current form
Al Najaf, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Erbil, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Al Karkh, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Baghdad, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Al Karkh, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Al Najaf.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Najaf 1.1 xG, Al Karkh 1.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Najaf 23%, draw 24%, Al Karkh 53%.
Lower-risk option: Al Karkh or draw (77%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Al Karkh to win (53%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Najaf 0–1 Al Karkh. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Najaf23%fair 4.43 · @5.00
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.60
Al Karkh53%fair 1.88 · @1.57
2.70Expected goals
1.12Al Najaf xG
1.58Al Karkh xG
48%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Al Najaf 1.1 – 1.6 Al Karkh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Karkh to win✓
53%
1.88
1.57
Double chance
Al Karkh or draw✓
77%
1.29
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
–
Draw no bet
Al Karkh (draw no bet)✓
70%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Al Najaf +1 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Al Karkh to score first
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Karkh / FT Al Karkh✓
29%
3.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.40
–
Recent results
Al Najaf – last 6
LDLLWL
11 May
vs Erbil
1–4
L
7 May
vs Baghdad
1–1
D
27 Apr
vs Duhok
1–2
L
31 Mar
@ Gharraf
0–1
L
27 Mar
@ Diyala
2–1
W
17 Mar
vs Mosul
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Al Karkh – last 6
WWWDLD
11 May
vs Baghdad
2–1
W
6 May
vs Zakho
3–1
W
27 Apr
@ Al Kahrabaa
3–1
W
22 Apr
vs Al-Karma
0–0
D
13 Apr
vs Diyala
0–2
L
8 Apr
@ Newroz
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Najaf and Al Karkh.
Our pick is Al Karkh to win with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Al Najaf vs Al Karkh?
On our numbers Al Najaf have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Al Karkh 53%.
How many goals will there be in Al Najaf vs Al Karkh?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Najaf vs Al Karkh?
Our predicted score is Al Najaf 0–1 Al Karkh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Al Najaf vs Al Karkh?
Al Najaf vs Al Karkh (Iraqi League) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
