Value bet: Newroz to win @ 2.50 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNewroz to win ✓43% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.90
Newroz vs Zakho: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:30 WAT, Wednesday 20 May: Newroz v Zakho in the Iraqi League. In the table, Newroz are 2nd, among the top four, on 26 points after 13 matches; Zakho are 15th (lower half) with 13. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Newroz, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Al Quwa Al Jawiya, away. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 5. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Zakho, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Diyala, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Newroz, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.3 for Zakho.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Newroz 1.4 xG, Zakho 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 45%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Newroz 43%, draw 26%, Zakho 31%.
Price worth noting: Newroz to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newroz 1–0 Zakho. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Newroz43%fair 2.35 · @2.50
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.10
Zakho31%fair 3.23 · @2.50
2.26Expected goals
1.39Newroz xG
0.87Zakho xG
45%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–010%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Newroz 1.4 – 0.9 Zakho expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newroz to win✓
43%
2.35
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
–
Draw no bet
Newroz (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Zakho +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Newroz to score first✗
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newroz / FT Newroz✗
29%
3.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.90
–
Recent results
Newroz – last 6
WWDWWW
27 Apr
@ Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2–1
W
13 Apr
vs Al Minaa Basra
4–1
W
8 Apr
vs Al Karkh
0–0
D
31 Mar
vs Naft Maysan
2–0
W
25 Mar
vs Gharraf
2–1
W
19 Mar
vs Al-Qasim
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Zakho – last 6
LLWWDD
11 May
vs Diyala
1–2
L
6 May
@ Al Karkh
1–3
L
1 May
vs Naft Maysan
3–1
W
23 Apr
vs Al Kahrabaa
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Al Shabab
1–1
D
8 Apr
vs Al Zawra'a
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newroz and Zakho.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Newroz vs Zakho?
On our numbers Newroz have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Zakho 31%.
How many goals will there be in Newroz vs Zakho?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newroz vs Zakho?
Our predicted score is Newroz 1–0 Zakho, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Newroz vs Zakho?
Newroz vs Zakho (Iraqi League) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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