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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Junior v Santa Fe: numbers & prediction

Primera A · Colombia · Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez

Junior

WDDWL
0–0
–Pens 5–4

Santa Fe

WDWDD
Junior 50%Draw 25%Santa Fe 25% Expected goals 1.52 – 1.18
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultJunior to win ✗50% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.91

Junior vs Santa Fe: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 24 May the Primera A brings Junior against Santa Fe at Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez. Kick-off: 02:30 WAT. In the table, Junior are 14th, lower half, on 19 points after 18 matches; Santa Fe are 5th (upper half) with 31. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Junior, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Sporting Cristal, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Santa Fe, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Platense, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Santa Fe 1–1 Junior. The last 2 head-to-heads: Junior 0 wins, Santa Fe 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Junior 1.5 xG, Santa Fe 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Junior 50%, draw 25%, Santa Fe 25%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Junior 1–1 Santa Fe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Junior50%fair 2.00 · @1.90
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.40
Santa Fe25%fair 3.97 · @4.00
2.70Expected goals
1.52Junior xG
1.18Santa Fe xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
1–27%

From our goals model: Junior 1.5 – 1.2 Santa Fe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

JuniorSanta Fe
Attack vs Primera A average+13%+19%
Goals conceded vs average+7%-17%
Our expected goals here1.391.35

Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJunior to win ✗50%2.001.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75%1.331.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.771.80
Draw no betJunior (draw no bet)66%1.50–
Asian handicapSanta Fe +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73%1.371.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓50%1.981.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.391.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.161.10
First team to scoreJunior to score first ✗53%1.90–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Junior / FT Junior ✗27%3.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.91–

Recent results

Junior – last 6

WDDWLW
21 Mayvs Sporting Cristal3–2W
17 May@ Santa Fe1–1D
14 Mayvs Once Caldas2–2D
11 May@ Once Caldas1–0W
8 Mayvs Cerro Porteno0–1L
3 Mayvs Deportivo Pasto4–3W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Santa Fe – last 6

WDWDDL
20 Mayvs Platense2–1W
17 Mayvs Junior1–1D
13 Mayvs America de Cali4–0W
10 May@ America de Cali1–1D
7 Mayvs Corinthians1–1D
29 Apr@ Platense1–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Santa Fe v Junior1–1
22 Feb 2026Santa Fe v Junior2–1
Junior vs Santa Fe head-to-head page →

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Nacional191315+2040
2Junior191126+735
3Deportivo Pasto191045+434
4America de Cali191036+1033
5Once Caldas19892+933
6Deportes Tolima19874+1031
7Santa Fe19784+729
8Internacional de Bogota19775028
9Deportivo Cali19766+427
10Millonarios19757+826
11Independiente Medellin19757+226
12Águilas Doradas19757-526
13Bucaramanga19586+623
14Llaneros194105-322
15Fortaleza FC19577-522
16Jaguares195311-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19388-1417
18Chico195212-1717
19Cucuta19379-1316
20Deportivo Pereira191711-1710

More Primera A predictions

League hub
FT Atletico Nacional3 Deportes Tolima1 162%1.68X22%3.70216%4.90 1.9–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.30 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Junior vs Santa Fe?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Junior vs Santa Fe?

On our numbers Junior have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Santa Fe 25%.

How many goals will there be in Junior vs Santa Fe?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Junior vs Santa Fe?

Our predicted score is Junior 1–1 Santa Fe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Junior vs Santa Fe?

Junior vs Santa Fe (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.