Derio 42%Draw 27%Lagun Onak 31%Expected goals 1.47 – 1.16
59%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Picks by market
ResultDerio to win ✓42% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.08
Derio vs Lagun Onak: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lagun Onak travel to face Derio on Sunday 24 May in the Tercera División RFEF Group 4 – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Derio are 5th, upper half, on 18 points after 10 matches; Lagun Onak are 13th (lower half) with 11.
Current form
Derio, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Lagun Onak, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Lagun Onak, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Derio, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Lagun Onak 2–0 Derio.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Derio 1.5 xG, Lagun Onak 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Derio 42%, draw 27%, Lagun Onak 31%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.69, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Derio 1–1 Lagun Onak. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Derio42%fair 2.40 · @2.30
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @2.88
Lagun Onak31%fair 3.22 · @3.00
2.63Expected goals
1.47Derio xG
1.16Lagun Onak xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Derio 1.5 – 1.2 Lagun Onak expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Derio vs Lagun Onak?
On our numbers Derio have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Lagun Onak 31%.
How many goals will there be in Derio vs Lagun Onak?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Derio vs Lagun Onak?
Our predicted score is Derio 1–1 Lagun Onak, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Derio vs Lagun Onak?
Derio vs Lagun Onak (Tercera División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
