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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sporting Gijón II v Caudal: numbers & prediction

0–0
FTAET 1–2

Caudal

DWWWW
Sporting Gijón II 46%Draw 27%Caudal 28% Expected goals 1.52 – 1.09
52%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.91 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultSporting Gijón II to win ✗46% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.93

Sporting Gijón II vs Caudal: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

11:00 WAT, Sunday 24 May: Sporting Gijón II v Caudal in the Tercera División RFEF Group 2. In the table, Sporting Gijón II are 2nd, among the top four, on 21 points after 10 matches; Caudal are 5th (upper half) with 18. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Sporting Gijón II, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Caudal, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Caudal, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sporting Gijón II, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Caudal, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.7 for Sporting Gijón II.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Caudal 0–0 Sporting Gijón II. The last 2 head-to-heads: Sporting Gijón II 1 win, Caudal 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sporting Gijón II 1.5 xG, Caudal 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting Gijón II 46%, draw 27%, Caudal 28%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (52%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting Gijón II 1–1 Caudal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sporting Gijón II46%fair 2.20 · @2.00
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @3.00
Caudal28%fair 3.62 · @3.40
2.61Expected goals
1.52Sporting Gijón II xG
1.09Caudal xG
47%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Sporting Gijón II 1.5 – 1.1 Caudal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSporting Gijón II to win ✗46%2.202.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73%1.371.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.90–
Draw no betSporting Gijón II (draw no bet)62%1.61–
Asian handicapCaudal +1 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73%1.36–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.911.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.36–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreSporting Gijón II to score first ✗54%1.85–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sporting Gijón II / FT Sporting Gijón II ✗28%3.55–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11%8.93–

Recent results

Sporting Gijón II – last 6

DLWWLW
17 May@ Caudal0–0D
26 Apr@ Covadonga0–5L
19 Aprvs Avilés Stadium5–0W
5 Aprvs Real Titánico7–0W
22 Mar@ Tuilla0–1L
15 Marvs L'Entregu2–0W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Caudal – last 6

DWWWWW
17 Mayvs Sporting Gijón II0–0D
26 Apr@ Navarro2–1W
12 Apr@ Praviano1–0W
2 Aprvs Lenense4–1W
22 Marvs Covadonga2–1W
15 Mar@ Avilés Stadium1–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Caudal v Sporting Gijón II0–0
15 Feb 2026Sporting Gijón II v Caudal3–1
Sporting Gijón II vs Caudal head-to-head page →

Tercera División RFEF Group 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Covadonga10721+1523
2Sporting Gijón II10631+821
3Lealtad10622+1020
4Condal10550+920
5Caudal10532+318
6Gijón Industrial10523+517
7Mosconia10442+216
8San Martín10433-115
9Praviano10424+614
10Langreo10334-212
11Siero10406-312
12Colunga10334-712
13Avilés Stadium10325-511
14Llanes10244-610
15Ceares10235-29
16Astur10064-66
17L'Entregu10127-135
18Andes10037-133

More Tercera División RFEF Group 2 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sporting Gijón II vs Caudal?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Sporting Gijón II vs Caudal?

On our numbers Sporting Gijón II have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Caudal 28%.

How many goals will there be in Sporting Gijón II vs Caudal?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sporting Gijón II vs Caudal?

Our predicted score is Sporting Gijón II 1–1 Caudal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Sporting Gijón II vs Caudal?

Sporting Gijón II vs Caudal (Tercera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.