Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultCovadonga to win ✓61% · @1.62
Double chanceCovadonga or draw ✓83% · @1.09
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.86
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.07
Covadonga vs Mosconia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Covadonga welcome Mosconia for a Tercera División RFEF Group 2 fixture on Sunday 24 May (11:00 WAT). In the table, Covadonga are 1st, leading the league, on 23 points after 10 matches; Mosconia are 7th (upper half) with 16.
Current form
Covadonga, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Mosconia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Mosconia, last 5: DWLLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Covadonga, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Covadonga, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Mosconia.
Head to head
When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Mosconia 0–0 Covadonga. The last 2 head-to-heads: Covadonga 1 win, Mosconia 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Covadonga 2.0 xG, Mosconia 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Covadonga 61%, draw 22%, Mosconia 17%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Covadonga to win (61%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Covadonga 1–0 Mosconia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Covadonga61%fair 1.63 · @1.62
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.30
Mosconia17%fair 6.04 · @5.10
2.88Expected goals
1.96Covadonga xG
0.92Mosconia xG
46%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Covadonga 2.0 – 0.9 Mosconia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Covadonga to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Covadonga vs Mosconia?
On our numbers Covadonga have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mosconia 17%.
How many goals will there be in Covadonga vs Mosconia?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Covadonga vs Mosconia?
Our predicted score is Covadonga 1–0 Mosconia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Covadonga vs Mosconia?
Covadonga vs Mosconia (Tercera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
