Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Heerenveen to win @ 3.70 – our chance 34% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUtrecht to win ✓44% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.87
Utrecht vs Heerenveen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 21 May the Eredivisie brings Utrecht against Heerenveen at Stadion Galgenwaard. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Utrecht are 14th, lower half, on 12 points after 12 matches; Heerenveen are 6th (upper half) with 21.
Current form
Utrecht, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Fortuna Sittard, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Heerenveen, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Ajax, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.4 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Utrecht 1.5 xG, Heerenveen 1.7 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Utrecht 44%, draw 23%, Heerenveen 34%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Heerenveen to win @3.70 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Utrecht 1–1 Heerenveen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Utrecht44%fair 2.29 · @1.90
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.65
Heerenveen34%fair 2.97 · @3.70
3.27Expected goals
1.53Utrecht xG
1.73Heerenveen xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Utrecht 1.5 – 1.7 Heerenveen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Utrecht to win✓
44%
2.29
1.90
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.62
Draw no bet
Utrecht (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Utrecht +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
1.15
First team to score
Heerenveen to score first
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.66
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Heerenveen / FT Heerenveen✗
26%
3.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.87
–
Recent results
Utrecht – last 6
WLWWDW
17 May
vs Fortuna Sittard
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ Excelsior
0–5
L
22 Mar
vs GO Ahead Eagles
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Twente
2–0
W
6 Mar
@ Heracles
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs AZ Alkmaar
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Heerenveen – last 5
DWWDW
17 May
vs Ajax
0–0
D
3 May
@ FC Volendam
2–0
W
5 Apr
vs Heracles
4–1
W
22 Mar
@ NEC Nijmegen
2–2
D
15 Feb
vs PEC Zwolle
4–2
W
2.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Utrecht and Heerenveen.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Utrecht vs Heerenveen?
On our numbers Utrecht have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Heerenveen 34%.
How many goals will there be in Utrecht vs Heerenveen?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Utrecht vs Heerenveen?
Our predicted score is Utrecht 1–1 Heerenveen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Utrecht vs Heerenveen?
Utrecht vs Heerenveen (Eredivisie) kicks off on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Galgenwaard.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
